Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 391.61 ETHFI at 0.449$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4602 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4286 (4.54 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 391.61 ETHFI at 0.449$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4602 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4286 (4.54 %)
Position
Entry 0.449$
Qty 391.6115 ETHFI
Size 175.8336$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4602 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.39$
SL 0.4286 (-4.54%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.55
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9259
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.57×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 19:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7075 | r1h: 0.201% · r4h: 2.922% · r1d: 1.51% · r3d: 17.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1893% · dist_ema21: 2.754% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7312 | rs_1h: 0.286% · rs_4h: 2.995% · rs_1d: 2.55% · rs_3d: 18.83% · beta_24h: -0.432 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2325 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.720 · trend: 10.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7038 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.954% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.722% | 0.2R | -0.229% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.229% | 0.1R | 9.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.229% | 0.1R | 9.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.706% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.735% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.882% | 2.0R | -0.735% | 0.2R | 12.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 30% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.26% | +0.66 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +0.96 | 14/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | bear_low | -1.09% | +0.31 | 14/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.30% | +0.32 | 14/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.066×ATR | p17 | +1.309×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 5.25×ATR | p82 | +1.919×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.382×ATR | p2 | +1.374×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.231×ATR | p3 | +0.562×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.449 | 0.4286 | 0.4602 | 0.55 | 0.7501 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4286 - 0.449 = -0.0204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.449 - 0.4602 = -0.0112
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0112 / -0.0204 = 0.549
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175.8336 | 100 | 391.6115 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0204 = -392.16
Taille de position USD = -392.16 x 0.449 = -176.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -392.16 avec un stoploss a 0.4286
Avec un position size USD de -176.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -392.16 x -0.0204 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -392.16 x -0.0112 = 4.39
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.39$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.39 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.54 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.57 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.706 % | 15.54 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.449 | 0.4286 | 0.4602 | 0.55 | 0.7501 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4286 - 0.449 = -0.0204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.449 - 0.4602 = -0.0112
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0112 / -0.0204 = 0.549
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.722% | 0.2R | -0.229% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.229% | 0.1R | 9.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.229% | 0.1R | 9.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.706% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.223% | 0.5R | -0.735% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.882% | 2.0R | -0.735% | 0.2R | 12.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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