Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 579.24 ACE at 0.319$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3462 (8.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3048 (4.33 %)
Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 579.24 ACE at 0.319$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3462 (8.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3048 (4.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.3186$
Qty 579.2375 ACE
Size 184.5451$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3462 (+8.66%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 0.3048 (-4.33%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9759
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 19:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.156907 15m : -0.12217 |
1H_regime : bull_high_exhausted 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 13/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 14/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 14/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 1.0000 | r1h: 4.374% · r4h: 19.523% · r1d: 188.25% · r3d: 235.37% · ema21_slope: 6.4006% · dist_ema21: 39.544% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 1.0000 | rs_1h: 4.458% · rs_4h: 19.596% · rs_1d: 189.29% · rs_3d: 236.59% · beta_24h: -1.931 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5853 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 1.275 · trend: 51.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 84.2 (trend) · Chop: 3.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.551% | 1.1R | -26.334% | 6.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.551% | 1.1R | -40.552% | 9.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.551% | 1.1R | -41.745% | 9.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.659% | 1.8R | -41.745% | 9.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.659% | 1.8R | -41.745% | 9.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.23 | bear_high | -5.26% | +1.00 | 13/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
choppy 62% | late | — | — | -0.01 | bear_medium | -1.72% | +1.00 | 14/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
choppy 58% | late | — | — | -0.06 | bear_low | -1.09% | +1.00 | 14/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
75%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.30% | +0.98 | 14/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 6.24×ATR | p64 | +5.063×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 9.856×ATR | p94 | +6.606×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 9.722×ATR | p98 | +3.014×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.552×ATR | p3 | +2.442×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62879.3
0.000535542
62913
-0.156907
63049.7
-0.00216926
62913
-0.12217
63468.6
-0.00875434
62913
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0.1933
0.84
3.417
0.7846
0.7227
0.9854
0.8908
-1.2049
9.8261
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:40:00 | 0.2812 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 0.2928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:10:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:55:00 | 0.291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:20:00 | 0.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:35:00 | 0.3073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.3533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:25:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:10:00 | 0.3186 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 22:30:00 | 0.1201 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.1386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:15:00 | 0.2828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:30:00 | 0.2567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 0.3043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:00:00 | 0.3186 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 06:00:00 | 0.1119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.1196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.1278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 0.1049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 0.105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 0.126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 0.1073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.1039 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3186 | 0.3048 | 0.3462 | 2 | 0.1548 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3048 - 0.3186 = -0.0138
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3186 - 0.3462 = -0.0276
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0276 / -0.0138 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184.5451 | 100 | 579.2375 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0138 = -579.71
Taille de position USD = -579.71 x 0.3186 = -184.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -579.71 avec un stoploss a 0.3048
Avec un position size USD de -184.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -579.71 x -0.0138 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -579.71 x -0.0276 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.66 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.33 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -4.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.4884 % | 103.62 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3186 | 0.3048 | 0.3462 | 2 | 0.1548 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3048 - 0.3186 = -0.0138
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3186 - 0.3462 = -0.0276
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0276 / -0.0138 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.551% | 1.1R | -26.334% | 6.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.551% | 1.1R | -40.552% | 9.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.551% | 1.1R | -41.745% | 9.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.659% | 1.8R | -41.745% | 9.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.659% | 1.8R | -41.745% | 9.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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