Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 394.54 ACE at 0.214$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2542 (19.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1933 (9.5 %)
Long Trade on ACE (CatchTheWave)
With 394.54 ACE at 0.214$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2542 (19.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1933 (9.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.2136$
Qty 394.5372 ACE
Size 84.2732$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2542 (+19.01%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.1933 (-9.5%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9455
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.49×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.13×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 21:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.237723 15m : -0.149115 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6329 | r1h: -14.649% · r4h: -31.876% · r1d: 72.00% · r3d: 105.15% · ema21_slope: 4.5273% · dist_ema21: -13.366% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: -14.614% · rs_4h: -32.060% · rs_1d: 72.85% · rs_3d: 106.27% · beta_24h: -11.488 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6378 | rvol_20: 1.61× · zscore_50: 1.454 · trend: 71.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 75.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.123% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.230% | 0.3R | -11.330% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.230% | 0.3R | -13.109% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +13.717% | 1.4R | -13.109% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +60.581% | 6.4R | -13.109% | 1.4R | 4.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +60.581% | 6.4R | -26.779% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.25 | bear_high | -5.24% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | -0.01 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
75%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | -0.08 | bear_low | -0.84% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.05% | -1.00 | 14/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 3.125×ATR | p19 | +3.106×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 4.623×ATR | p74 | +2.172×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 5.384×ATR | p86 | -0.866×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 6.817×ATR | p92 | -2.756×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62974.3
0.000487491
63005
-0.237723
63031.1
-0.000414156
63005
-0.149115
63436
-0.00676311
63007
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0.98
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0.6597
0.9199
0.4221
-4.061
2.9656
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:50:00 | 0.2824 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 0.2928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:10:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:55:00 | 0.291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:20:00 | 0.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 20:35:00 | 0.3073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.3533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:25:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:55:00 | 0.205 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 0.1209 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.1386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 13:15:00 | 0.2828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:30:00 | 0.2567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:15:00 | 0.3043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 17:45:00 | 0.2753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 0.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:15:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:45:00 | 0.205 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.1196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.1278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 0.1049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 0.105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 0.126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 0.1073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.1039 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.3785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 0.213 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2136 | 0.1933 | 0.2542 | 2 | 0.1545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1933 - 0.2136 = -0.0203
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2136 - 0.2542 = -0.0406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0406 / -0.0203 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84.2732 | 84.2732 | 394.5372 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0203 = -394.09
Taille de position USD = -394.09 x 0.2136 = -84.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -394.09 avec un stoploss a 0.1933
Avec un position size USD de -84.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -394.09 x -0.0203 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -394.09 x -0.0406 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 19.01 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.5 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -9.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -11.3296 % | 119.21 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2136 | 0.1933 | 0.2542 | 2 | 0.1545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1933 - 0.2136 = -0.0203
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2136 - 0.2542 = -0.0406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0406 / -0.0203 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.230% | 0.3R | -11.330% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.230% | 0.3R | -13.109% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +13.717% | 1.4R | -13.109% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +60.581% | 6.4R | -13.109% | 1.4R | 4.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +60.581% | 6.4R | -26.779% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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