Long Trade on MOVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 16609.92 MOVE at 0.00684$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007009 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006356 (7.05 %)
Long Trade on MOVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 16609.92 MOVE at 0.00684$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007009 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006356 (7.05 %)
Position
Entry 0.006838$
Qty 16609.9161 MOVE
Size 113.5786$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.007009 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.84$
SL 0.006356 (-7.05%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.35
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9372
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 14/08 21:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 14/08 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8729 | r1h: 2.979% · r4h: 2.106% · r1d: 13.20% · r3d: 9.31% · ema21_slope: 0.3896% · dist_ema21: 3.672% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8769 | rs_1h: 3.014% · rs_4h: 1.921% · rs_1d: 14.04% · rs_3d: 10.43% · beta_24h: 0.562 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4684 | rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.805 · trend: 16.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6836 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 47.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.713% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -0.746% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -1.711% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -3.817% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.550% | 0.2R | -4.621% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -4.680% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -6.464% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -5.24% | -1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +0.78 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.16 | bear_low | -0.84% | +0.79 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.05% | +0.26 | 14/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 11.207×ATR | p95 | -1.162×ATR | p57 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.997×ATR | p0 | +1.419×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.668×ATR | p11 | +1.046×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 2.844×ATR | p65 | +0.845×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:10 | 0.00683800 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:10 | 0.00681200 | -0.38% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006838 | 0.006356 | 0.007009 | 0.35 | 0.008964 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006356 - 0.006838 = -0.000482
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006838 - 0.007009 = -0.000171
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000171 / -0.000482 = 0.3548
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113.5786 | 100 | 16609.9161 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000482 = -16597.51
Taille de position USD = -16597.51 x 0.006838 = -113.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -16597.51 avec un stoploss a 0.006356
Avec un position size USD de -113.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16597.51 x -0.000482 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16597.51 x -0.000171 = 2.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.84 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.05 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.72 $ | -4.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.6212 % | 65.56 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006838 | 0.006356 | 0.007009 | 0.35 | 0.008964 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006356 - 0.006838 = -0.000482
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006838 - 0.007009 = -0.000171
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000171 / -0.000482 = 0.3548
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -0.746% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -1.711% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -3.817% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.550% | 0.2R | -4.621% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -4.680% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.550% | 0.2R | -6.464% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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