Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1019.11 KAITO at 0.4$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3909 (2.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4084 (1.97 %)
14 Aug 2026 at 21:15:10
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
14 Aug 2026 21:15
→ 04:45
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.4005$
Qty 1019.1083 KAITO
Size 408.1834$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3909 (+2.4%)
TP $ 9.78$
SL 0.4084 (-1.97%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 1.22
Status
win
PnL
+2.40%
/ +9.78$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +4.46%
2.3R
expires
15 Aug 09:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 69782)
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 14/08/2026 21:00
score du 14/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0051
Quality Score
0.379
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
14/08 21:02
14/08 21:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué : 14/08 21:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3794
Score SMA
0.3682
Rank
#50
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0051
Rank Norm SMA
0.0336
Calculé le
14/08/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2333 | r1h: -1.147% · r4h: 2.188% · r1d: -5.83% · r3d: -35.55% · ema21_slope: -0.2707% · dist_ema21: -1.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3081 | rs_1h: -1.113% · rs_4h: 2.004% · rs_1d: -4.98% · rs_3d: -34.43% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1941 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.534 · trend: -57.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6239 | ADX: 40.4 (trend) · Chop: 64.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.160% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.973%
(0.0079)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.803% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.813% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.250% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.695% | 1.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.459% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.9
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
choppy 53% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -5.24% | -1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bear_medium | -1.52% | -1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | -0.02 | bear_low | -0.84% | -0.32 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.11 | range_low | -0.03% | +0.16 | 14/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 9.069×ATR | p83 | -3.314×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 80b | — | 33.135×ATR | p100 | -3.22×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.129×ATR | p0 | -0.937×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.149×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.40838
- tp_price: 0.39087876
- atr: 0.00386049
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T13:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 50
- score: 0.2333
- avg_rank_8h: 47.8
- rank_velocity: 2.2
- pullback_depth_atr: 4.76
- trigger_price: 0.40106
- fip_24h: -0.333
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4005 | 0.4084 | 0.3909 | 1.22 | 0.3445 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4005
- Stop Loss: 0.4084
- Take Profit: 0.3909
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4084 - 0.4005 = 0.0079
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4005 - 0.3909 = 0.0096
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0096 / 0.0079 = 1.2152
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 408.1834 | 100 | 1019.1083 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0079
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0079 = 1012.66
Taille de position USD = 1012.66 x 0.4005 = 405.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 1012.66 avec un stoploss a 0.4084
Avec un position size USD de 405.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1012.66 x 0.0079 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1012.66 x 0.0096 = 9.72
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.72$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1012.66
- Taille de position USD 405.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 9.72
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2152
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.4 % | 9.78 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.97 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.78 $ | 2.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4005 | 0.4084 | 0.3909 | 1.22 | 0.3445 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4005
- Stop Loss: 0.4084
- Take Profit: 0.3909
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4084 - 0.4005 = 0.0079
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4005 - 0.3909 = 0.0096
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0096 / 0.0079 = 1.2152
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.973%
(0.0079)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.803% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.813% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.250% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.695% | 1.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.459% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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