Short Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 10463.67 ONDO at 0.33$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3285 (0.45 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3308 (0.24 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 10463.67 ONDO at 0.33$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3285 (0.45 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3308 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.33$
Qty 10463.6714 ONDO
Size 3453.2208$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3285 (+0.45%)
TP $ 15.7$
SL 0.3308 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8.37$
RR 1.88
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3280
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.63×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.69×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 14/08 22:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.536423 15m : 0.515639 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 14/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 14/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4671 | r1h: 0.116% · r4h: 1.767% · r1d: -1.74% · r3d: -2.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0926% · dist_ema21: 0.302% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5146 | rs_1h: 0.095% · rs_4h: 1.608% · rs_1d: -0.86% · rs_3d: -1.46% · beta_24h: 1.324 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1493 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.886 · trend: -43.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6463 | ADX: 35.2 (trend) · Chop: 56.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.155% | 0.6R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.609% | 2.5R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.394% | 5.8R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.394% | 5.8R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -5.24% | -0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -1.46% | -0.12 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.55 | range_low | -0.65% | -0.04 | 14/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | range_low |
44%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.10% | +0.20 | 14/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 5.637×ATR | p75 | -1.743×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.882×ATR | p0 | -0.704×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.49×ATR | p76 | +0.999×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.754×ATR | p46 | +2.521×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62984.9
0.00214473
63120
0.536423
63048.9
0.00111177
63119
0.515639
63420.3
-0.00495648
63106
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0.2551
0.26
0.0905
0.524
0.4799
0.7611
0.2672
-9.8614
3.5967
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:50 | 0.33002000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 22:57 | 0.33010000 | +0.03% |
| 3 | 23:04 | 0.33090000 | +0.273% |
| 4 | 23:09 | 0.33094000 | +0.285% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 20:55:00 | 0.3232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:10:00 | 0.32437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:50:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:05:00 | 0.32379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:25:00 | 0.32223 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:20:00 | 0.32971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:40:00 | 0.32721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:15:00 | 0.32729 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:25:00 | 0.32868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:40:00 | 0.33032 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 06:15:00 | 0.33263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:30:00 | 0.33158 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 0.32475 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:45:00 | 0.32932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.32253 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:30:00 | 0.32851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 0.32206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:45:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:15:00 | 0.32971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:30:00 | 0.33032 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.3309 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 0.33841 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.34029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.32549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.337 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:00:00 | 0.33946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.32998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 0.33032 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.3308 | 0.3285 | 1.88 | 0.4079 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3308 - 0.33 = 0.00079999999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.33 - 0.3285 = 0.0015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0015 / 0.00079999999999997 = 1.875
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3453.2208 | 100 | 10463.6714 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00079999999999997 = 10000
Taille de position USD = 10000 x 0.33 = 3300
Donc, tu peux acheter 10000 avec un stoploss a 0.3308
Avec un position size USD de 3300$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10000 x 0.00079999999999997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10000 x 0.0015 = 15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 15.7 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8.37 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.37 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2727 % | 112.5 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.3308 | 0.3285 | 1.88 | 0.4079 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3308 - 0.33 = 0.00079999999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.33 - 0.3285 = 0.0015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0015 / 0.00079999999999997 = 1.875
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.155% | 0.6R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.609% | 2.5R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.394% | 5.8R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.394% | 5.8R | -0.439% | 1.8R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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