Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1597.46 NEAR at 1.641$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6509 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6359 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1597.46 NEAR at 1.641$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6509 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6359 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 1.6409$
Qty 1597.46 NEAR
Size 2621.2722$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6509 (+0.61%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 1.6359 (-0.3%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7705
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.62×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.326751 15m : 0.438635 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 00:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5312 | r1h: -0.854% · r4h: 0.586% · r1d: 2.59% · r3d: -0.85% · ema21_slope: 0.0786% · dist_ema21: 1.528% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5221 | rs_1h: -0.721% · rs_4h: 0.559% · rs_1d: 3.02% · rs_3d: 0.33% · beta_24h: 1.440 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2517 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.407 · trend: -15.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7382 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 28.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.924% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.5R | -0.360% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.256% | 0.8R | -0.555% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.256% | 0.8R | -0.555% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.256% | 0.8R | -0.780% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.329% | 1.1R | -0.780% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -5.24% | -0.63 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_medium | -1.40% | +0.22 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.47 | range_low | -0.65% | +0.21 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.04 | 15/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 6.173×ATR | p85 | -0.662×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.292×ATR | p17 | +0.702×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.527×ATR | p2 | +1.215×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.986×ATR | p71 | +0.049×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63012.8
0.00163663
63116
0.326751
63022.8
0.00147769
63116
0.438635
63418.3
-0.00519367
63089
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1.2218
1.3345
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
0.4684
0.4696
3.8719
0.55
2.5
4.3308
1.3345
0.4166
0.1286
0.94
0.3389
0.6269
0.4277
0.5229
0.7442
-2.366
6.883
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:33 | 1.64090000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:26 | 1.63630000 | -0.28% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 20:15:00 | 1.6145 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:45:00 | 1.6328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:40:00 | 1.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 22:40:00 | 1.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:20:00 | 1.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:25:00 | 1.6522 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:50:00 | 1.6378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:30:00 | 1.6408 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 09:15:00 | 1.6114 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 11:15:00 | 1.6085 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 1.5818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 1.6078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 1.5892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 20:45:00 | 1.6328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:30:00 | 1.609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 1.6378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:30:00 | 1.6408 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 1.6141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:00:00 | 1.6726 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 23:00:00 | 1.6423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 1.5818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6409 | 1.6359 | 1.6509 | 2 | 4.2866 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6359 - 1.6409 = -0.0050000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6409 - 1.6509 = -0.01
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01 / -0.0050000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2621.2722 | 100 | 1597.46 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0050000000000001 = -1600
Taille de position USD = -1600 x 1.6409 = -2625.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -1600 avec un stoploss a 1.6359
Avec un position size USD de -2625.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1600 x -0.0050000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1600 x -0.01 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3108 % | 102 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6409 | 1.6359 | 1.6509 | 2 | 4.2866 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6359 - 1.6409 = -0.0050000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6409 - 1.6509 = -0.01
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01 / -0.0050000000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.158% | 0.5R | -0.360% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.256% | 0.8R | -0.555% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.256% | 0.8R | -0.555% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.256% | 0.8R | -0.780% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.329% | 1.1R | -0.780% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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