Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 7.2 ZEC at 492.71$ per unit. Take profit: 494.9319 (0.45 %) & Stop Loss: 491.599 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 7.2 ZEC at 492.71$ per unit. Take profit: 494.9319 (0.45 %) & Stop Loss: 491.599 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 492.71$
Qty 7.201 ZEC
Size 3548.007$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 494.9319 (+0.45%)
TP $ 16$
SL 491.599 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5825
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.389831 15m : 0.518294 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 15/08 00:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5189 | r1h: -0.231% · r4h: -0.028% · r1d: 0.25% · r3d: 2.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0597% · dist_ema21: 0.458% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5316 | rs_1h: -0.098% · rs_4h: -0.055% · rs_1d: 0.68% · rs_3d: 3.39% · beta_24h: 1.236 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1502 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -1.094 · trend: -32.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5850 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 43.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -0.532% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -0.532% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.406% | 1.8R | -0.800% | 3.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -1.057% | 4.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -1.057% | 4.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -5.24% | +0.08 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -1.40% | +0.33 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.53 | range_low | -0.58% | +0.07 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.54 | range_low | +0.12% | -0.00 | 15/08 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 1.775×ATR | p0 | -0.021×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.743×ATR | p0 | +0.441×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.795×ATR | p22 | +0.57×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.024×ATR | p53 | +0.104×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63017.5
0.00175193
63128
0.389831
63038.1
0.00141025
63127
0.518294
63419.3
-0.00443626
63138
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486.18
189
0.6859
0.6928
0.3414
0.1924
0.4633
0.5445
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0.7421
0.6141
0.4631
0.7018
0.5737
0.0873
0.0417
1
0.5802
0.8457
0.45
0.55
1
11
1
0.6153
0.8388
3.0703
0.55
0.5445
1.6718
0.8457
0.6788
0.3806
0.44
-0.0014
0.401
0.4254
0.8983
0.5737
-4.8873
6.577
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 23:20:00 | 489.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:10:00 | 495.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:05:00 | 490.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:30:00 | 498.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:05:00 | 498.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:50:00 | 493.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:15:00 | 495.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:40:00 | 492.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 04:20:00 | 495.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:50:00 | 492.71 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 13:15:00 | 486.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:15:00 | 480.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 493.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 18:45:00 | 486.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 494.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:15:00 | 489.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 495.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 490.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:30:00 | 498.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:30:00 | 492.84 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 466.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 474.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 483.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 484.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 498.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 482.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 495 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 480.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 498.75 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492.71 | 491.599 | 494.9319 | 2 | 1497.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 491.599 - 492.71 = -1.111
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 492.71 - 494.9319 = -2.2219
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2219 / -1.111 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3548.007 | 100 | 7.201 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.111 = -7.2
Taille de position USD = -7.2 x 492.71 = -3547.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.2 avec un stoploss a 491.599
Avec un position size USD de -3547.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.2 x -1.111 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.2 x -2.2219 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.274 % | 121.51 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492.71 | 491.599 | 494.9319 | 2 | 1497.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 491.599 - 492.71 = -1.111
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 492.71 - 494.9319 = -2.2219
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2219 / -1.111 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -0.532% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -0.532% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.406% | 1.8R | -0.800% | 3.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -1.057% | 4.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.406% | 1.8R | -1.057% | 4.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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