Long Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 911.83 WLD at 0.35$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3717 (6.26 %) & Stop Loss: 0.341 (2.52 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 02:08:40
hyperliquid
WLD
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 02:08
→ 08:20
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 0.3498$
Qty 911.8337 WLD
Size 318.9412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3717 (+6.26%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.341 (-2.52%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-2.52%
/ -8.02$
MAE -2.58%
MFE +0.75%
0.3R
expires
15 Aug 14:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70007)
#10 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 02:00
score du 15/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6162
Quality Score
0.545
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 02:00
15/08 02:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 15.11×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué : 15/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5450
Score SMA
0.5183
Rank
#10
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6162
Rank Norm SMA
0.5494
Calculé le
15/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6132 | r1h: 0.778% · r4h: 1.478% · r1d: 0.73% · r3d: 2.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0393% · dist_ema21: 1.275% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6078 | rs_1h: 0.851% · rs_4h: 1.415% · rs_1d: 1.24% · rs_3d: 3.28% · beta_24h: 1.581 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2267 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -21.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4251 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 62.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.313% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.516%
(0.0088)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.095% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.095% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.944% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.582% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.749% | 0.3R | -2.582% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.415% | 0.6R | -2.582% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.24% | -0.02 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.42 | bear_medium | -1.30% | +0.36 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.43 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.25 | 15/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.01% | -0.01 | 15/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 59b | — | 17.333×ATR | p100 | +0.441×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 0.792×ATR | p0 | +0.901×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.68×ATR | p12 | +0.977×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.003×ATR | p21 | +0.086×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.836
- reason: up_bo width=2.50×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.34100647
- tp_price: 0.37171383
- atr:
- score: 0.83604804864119
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T18:08:32.890890
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83604804864119
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0207
- obi_top10 : 0.06
- micro_price : 0.34861409
- spread_pct : 0.028686
- mid_price : 0.34865
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.352
- ask_wall_size : 1556126
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0213
- obi_top5_std : 0.0014
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7156
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.34706
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.33585
- balance_zone_mid:
0.341455
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786611600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786773600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4993
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.836
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786770000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.34706
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8478
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6064
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00448532 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.8478
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6064
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:08 | 0.34978000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 02:14 | 0.34978000 | -0.006% |
| 3 | 02:20 | 0.34911000 | -0.197% |
| 4 | 02:26 | 0.34911000 | -0.197% |
| 5 | 02:32 | 0.34911000 | -0.197% |
| 6 | 02:38 | 0.34822000 | -0.452% |
| 7 | 02:44 | 0.34822000 | -0.452% |
| 8 | 02:50 | 0.34777000 | -0.58% |
| 9 | 02:56 | 0.34777000 | -0.58% |
| 10 | 03:03 | 0.34777000 | -0.58% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7156ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.021
avg 0.021
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.060
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3487
Micro Price
0.3486
Spread
0.0287%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3520
Size
1,556,126.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3498 | 0.341 | 0.3717 | 2.49 | 0.4519 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3498
- Stop Loss: 0.341
- Take Profit: 0.3717
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.341 - 0.3498 = -0.0088
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3498 - 0.3717 = -0.0219
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0219 / -0.0088 = 2.4886
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 318.9412 | 100 | 911.8337 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0088
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0088 = -909.09
Taille de position USD = -909.09 x 0.3498 = -318
Donc, tu peux acheter -909.09 avec un stoploss a 0.341
Avec un position size USD de -318$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -909.09 x -0.0088 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -909.09 x -0.0219 = 19.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.91$
Résumé
- Taille de position -909.09
- Taille de position USD -318
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.91
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4886
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.26 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5272 % | 100.46 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3498 | 0.341 | 0.3717 | 2.49 | 0.4519 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3498
- Stop Loss: 0.341
- Take Profit: 0.3717
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.341 - 0.3498 = -0.0088
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3498 - 0.3717 = -0.0219
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0219 / -0.0088 = 2.4886
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.516%
(0.0088)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.095% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.095% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.944% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.582% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.749% | 0.3R | -2.582% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.415% | 0.6R | -2.582% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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