Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1189.81 CRV at 0.242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.236 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2488 (2.77 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 09:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2421$
Qty 1189.8069 CRV
Size 288.0166$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.236 (+2.52%)
TP $ 7.26$
SL 0.2488 (-2.77%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.91
Status
win
PnL
+0.06%
/ +0.17$
MAE -0.36%
MFE +1.28%
0.5R
expires
15 Aug 09:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70049)
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 03:00
score du 15/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1161
Quality Score
0.394
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 03:00
15/08 03:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.83×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 15/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 15/08 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué : 15/08 03:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3944
Score SMA
0.4509
Rank
#47
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1161
Rank Norm SMA
0.1638
Calculé le
15/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3400 | r1h: -0.079% · r4h: -0.866% · r1d: -4.72% · r3d: -12.06% · ema21_slope: -0.1556% · dist_ema21: -0.751% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3303 | rs_1h: -0.044% · rs_4h: -0.735% · rs_1d: -4.84% · rs_3d: -11.06% · beta_24h: 1.883 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1384 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -57.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5479 | ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 66.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.768%
(0.0067)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.103% | 0.0R | 12.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.281% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.59
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -1.38% | -0.77 | 15/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.21 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.28 | 15/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | -0.02 | 15/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 3.221×ATR | p25 | +0.766×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 6.071×ATR | p94 | -1.302×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.326×ATR | p0 | -0.716×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.538×ATR | p3 | -0.222×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.24879378
- tp_price: 0.23601825
- atr: 0.00268951
- expires_at: 2026-08-15T13:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 49
- score: 0.34
- delta_2h: -0.0628
- extension_atr: -0.32
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1161
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2421 | 0.2488 | 0.236 | 0.91 | 0.3653 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2421
- Stop Loss: 0.2488
- Take Profit: 0.236
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2488 - 0.2421 = 0.0067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2421 - 0.236 = 0.0061
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0067 = 0.9104
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 288.0166 | 100 | 1189.8069 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0067
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0067 = 1194.03
Taille de position USD = 1194.03 x 0.2421 = 289.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 1194.03 avec un stoploss a 0.2488
Avec un position size USD de 289.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0067 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0061 = 7.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1194.03
- Taille de position USD 289.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9104
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 7.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.77 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.17 $ | 0.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3635 % | 13.13 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2421 | 0.2488 | 0.236 | 0.91 | 0.3653 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2421
- Stop Loss: 0.2488
- Take Profit: 0.236
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2488 - 0.2421 = 0.0067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2421 - 0.236 = 0.0061
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0067 = 0.9104
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.768%
(0.0067)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.103% | 0.0R | 12.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.276% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.281% | 0.5R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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