Long Trade on NIL

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15 Aug 2026 at 05:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1308.29 NIL at 0.0521$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04601 (11.72 %)

NIL LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 15 Aug 2026 05:10 → 05:45 · 34 minutes

Position

Entry 0.05212$

Qty 1308.2926 NIL

Size 68.1895$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 68.19$

SL 0.04601 (-11.72%)

SL $ 7.99$

Status loss PnL -11.72% / -7.99$ MAE -12.54% MFE +1.94% 0.2R expires 15 Aug 08:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 70175)

#2 / 48 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4720

Quality Score

0.794

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#2 / 48 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

11.72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 48 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

11.72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.68×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 05:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

15/08 05:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 15/08 04:00 Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

15/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

15/08 04:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1540

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	transition	—	-1
Tactical	range	transition	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.67

Snapshot évalué : 15/08 05:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 15/08/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.7938

Score SMA

0.5828

Rank

#2 / 48

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4720

Rank Norm SMA

0.6529

Calculé le

15/08/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7500	r1h: -2.679% · r4h: 12.915% · r1d: 20.77% · r3d: 38.47% · ema21_slope: 0.7567% · dist_ema21: 12.344%
Force Relative	25%	0.7675	rs_1h: -2.581% · rs_4h: 13.106% · rs_1d: 20.66% · rs_3d: 39.69% · beta_24h: -3.268
Volume	20%	0.9584	rvol_20: 2.87× · zscore_50: 2.678 · trend: 215.26%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8031	ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 17.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.6481	ATR%: 4.056% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.723% (0.0061)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	12
2h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	24
3h ★	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	36
4h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	48
8h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0.25

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	—
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.26	bear_medium	-1.39%	+1.00	15/08 04:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.02	bear_low	-0.76%	+0.97	15/08 04:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 47%	early	—	—	—	range_low	-0.11%	+0.89	15/08 04:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
4h	↑ up	late	21b	—	4.479×ATR	p69	+2.043×ATR	p90
1h	↓ down	late	1b	—	1.159×ATR	p0	+2.261×ATR	p84
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.091×ATR	p16	+0.99×ATR	p49

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04600616
atr: 0.00203828
expires_at: 2026-08-15T12:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 49
score: 0.75
confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05212	0.04601			0.1059

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05212
Stop Loss: 0.04601
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04601 - 0.05212 = -0.00611
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05212 - = 0.05212
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05212 / -0.00611 = -8.5303

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
68.1895	68.1895	1308.2926	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00611

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00611 = -1309.33

Taille de position USD = -1309.33 x 0.05212 = -68.24

Donc, tu peux acheter -1309.33 avec un stoploss a 0.04601

Avec un position size USD de -68.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1309.33 x -0.00611 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1309.33 x 0.05212 = -68.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -68.24$

Résumé

Taille de position -1309.33
Taille de position USD -68.24
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -68.24
Risk-Reward Ratio -8.5303

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	68.19 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
11.72 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.99 $	-11.72

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-12.2563 %	104.55 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05212	0.04601			0.1059

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05212
Stop Loss: 0.04601
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04601 - 0.05212 = -0.00611
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05212 - = 0.05212
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05212 / -0.00611 = -8.5303

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05212
            [stop_loss] => 0.045399
            [rr_ratio] => 7.75
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 09:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05212
            [stop_loss] => 0.044788
            [rr_ratio] => 7.11
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 09:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05212
            [stop_loss] => 0.044177
            [rr_ratio] => 6.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 09:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05212
            [stop_loss] => 0.042955
            [rr_ratio] => 5.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-15 09:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.723% (0.0061)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	12
2h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	24
3h ★	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	36
4h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	48
8h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.938%	0.2R	-12.542%	1.1R	0.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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