15 Aug 2026 at 05:10:55 hyperliquid

Long Trade on WLFI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 4665.84 WLFI at 0.0571$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06141 (7.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05541 (2.99 %)

WLFI LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 15 Aug 2026 05:10 → 17:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.05712$

Qty 4665.8385 WLFI

Size 266.5174$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06141 (+7.51%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.05541 (-2.99%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -0.71% / -1.89$ MAE -1.99% MFE +0.38% 0.1R expires 15 Aug 17:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 70178)
#11 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8771

Quality Score
0.554
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#11 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.30×ATR
4h clear 7.60×ATR
1d near 0.32×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

15/08 05:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

14/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

15/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

15/08 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1540
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — -1
Tactical range transition — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 15/08 05:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 15/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.5543
Score SMA
0.5740
Rank
#11 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8771
Rank Norm SMA
0.7030
Calculé le
15/08/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5324 r1h: -0.210% · r4h: -0.872% · r1d: 0.74% · r3d: 2.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1063% · dist_ema21: 1.223%
Force Relative 25% 0.5226 rs_1h: -0.112% · rs_4h: -0.681% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: 4.03% · beta_24h: 2.841
Volume 20% 0.2069 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.144 · trend: -37.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8173 ADX: 38.1 (trend) · Chop: 28.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.442% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.994% (0.0017)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.383% 0.1R -0.406% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +0.383% 0.1R -1.689% 0.6R 0.2× 24
4h +0.383% 0.1R -1.689% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.383% 0.1R -1.985% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.383% 0.1R -1.985% 0.7R 0.2× 143
24h +2.938% 1.0R -1.985% 0.7R 1.5× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% early — near 0.3ATR 0.40 bear_high -5.14% +0.52 14/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range weak grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 30% mid — — 0.13 bear_medium -1.39% +0.27 15/08 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 40% early — near -0.3ATR 0.09 bear_low -0.76% +0.24 15/08 04:00
15m ↑ up range range strong explosive compression bull_medium
61%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.09 range_low -0.05% +0.06 15/08 04:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 6b — 2.569×ATR p0 +0.734×ATR p54
4h ↑ up mid 3b — 2.025×ATR p3 +1.205×ATR p79
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.256×ATR p0 +0.589×ATR p37
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.767×ATR p17 -0.074×ATR p8

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7384
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.56×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.05540641
  5. tp_price: 0.06140746
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.73839486621347
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-15T21:10:47.153329
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.73839486621347
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0961
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0052
  15. micro_price : 0.057095
  16. spread_pct : 0.017516
  17. mid_price : 0.057095
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.057
  19. bid_wall_size : 1594729
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0961
  26. obi_top5_std : 0
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7163
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.0560965
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.054873
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.05548475
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786676400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786784400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.5619
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    31
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7384
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786773600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.0560965
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6129
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    3
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.3078
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    6
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    14
  59. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 0.00078336
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.6129
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3078

Signaux confirmants (10)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 05:10 0.05712100 +0.002%
2 05:16 0.05712100 +0.002%
3 05:22 0.05699000 -0.228%
4 05:28 0.05699000 -0.228%
5 05:34 0.05699000 -0.228%
6 05:40 0.05713200 +0.021%
7 05:46 0.05713200 +0.021%
8 05:52 0.05701500 -0.184%
9 05:58 0.05701500 -0.184%
10 06:05 0.05701500 -0.184%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7163ms Confidence avant OB : 74% → 74%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.096
avg 0.096 ± 0.000
OBI Top 10 0.005

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0571
Micro Price
0.0571
Spread
0.0175%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0570
Size
1,594,729.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05712 0.05541 0.06141 2.51 0.05655
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05712
  • Stop Loss: 0.05541
  • Take Profit: 0.06141

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05541 - 0.05712 = -0.00171

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05712 - 0.06141 = -0.00429

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00429 / -0.00171 = 2.5088

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
266.5174 100 4665.8385 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00171

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00171 = -4678.36

Taille de position USD = -4678.36 x 0.05712 = -267.23

Donc, tu peux acheter -4678.36 avec un stoploss a 0.05541

Avec un position size USD de -267.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4678.36 x -0.00171 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4678.36 x -0.00429 = 20.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4678.36
  • Taille de position USD -267.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.07
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5088

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.51 % 20.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.99 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-1.89 $ -0.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9853 % 66.32 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05712 0.05541 0.06141 2.51 0.05655
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05712
  • Stop Loss: 0.05541
  • Take Profit: 0.06141

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05541 - 0.05712 = -0.00171

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05712 - 0.06141 = -0.00429

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00429 / -0.00171 = 2.5088

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.994% (0.0017)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.383% 0.1R -0.406% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +0.383% 0.1R -1.689% 0.6R 0.2× 24
4h +0.383% 0.1R -1.689% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.383% 0.1R -1.985% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.383% 0.1R -1.985% 0.7R 0.2× 143
24h +2.938% 1.0R -1.985% 0.7R 1.5× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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