Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 621.02 AVAX at 6.586$ per unit. Take profit: 6.6115 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 6.5728 (0.2 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 621.02 AVAX at 6.586$ per unit. Take profit: 6.6115 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 6.5728 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 6.5857$
Qty 621.0206 AVAX
Size 4089.8555$ (margin 100$) (leverage 41)
Risk Setup
TP 6.6115 (+0.39%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 6.5728 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9092
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.94×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.58×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.136464 15m : 0.267285 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5657 | r1h: -0.190% · r4h: -1.725% · r1d: 3.48% · r3d: 6.25% · ema21_slope: 0.1781% · dist_ema21: 0.850% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5686 | rs_1h: -0.092% · rs_4h: -1.535% · rs_1d: 3.37% · rs_3d: 7.47% · beta_24h: 1.811 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4028 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.225 · trend: 34.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7373 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 16.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.989% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -0.084% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -0.169% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.172% | 0.9R | -0.292% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -1.540% | 7.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -1.540% | 7.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.5ATR | near -1.0ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.26 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.58% | +0.55 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_low | -0.82% | +0.25 | 15/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.32 | range_low | -0.13% | -0.19 | 15/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.99×ATR | p0 | +0.676×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.42×ATR | p33 | +1.056×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.654×ATR | p80 | +0.453×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.383×ATR | p61 | -2.526×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63032.5
-0.00108717
62964
0.136464
62979.6
-0.000248053
62964
0.267285
63368.1
-0.00678772
62938
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 22:00:00
[1] => 6.2932
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 04:00:00
[1] => 6.545
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 12:00:00
[1] => 6.5481
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 16:00:00
[1] => 6.3635
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 01:00:00
[1] => 6.4844
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 12:00:00
[1] => 6.3451
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 17:00:00
[1] => 6.4896
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 22:00:00
[1] => 6.3874
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 02:00:00
[1] => 6.8771
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:00:00
[1] => 6.5878
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2008986345989
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0060718297458933
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3914508637178
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 15:00:00
[1] => 6.3691
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 17:15:00
[1] => 6.4896
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:15:00
[1] => 6.3993
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:45:00
[1] => 6.4537
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 22:00:00
[1] => 6.3874
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 00:00:00
[1] => 6.5147
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 01:45:00
[1] => 6.4771
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 02:45:00
[1] => 6.8771
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 06:00:00
[1] => 6.6
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:15:00
[1] => 6.5826
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2372511669163
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.047093853492539
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 27
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26433324218393
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 02:50:00
[1] => 6.8771
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 03:25:00
[1] => 6.7471
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 04:40:00
[1] => 6.6947
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:05:00
[1] => 6.74
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 05:40:00
[1] => 6.6773
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 06:10:00
[1] => 6.6
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 06:50:00
[1] => 6.6677
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 08:15:00
[1] => 6.6254
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:15:00
[1] => 6.5826
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 09:25:00
[1] => 6.5826
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59920910435596
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.047093853492539
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
6.8771
192
0.7316
0.8222
0.3212
0.2696
0.3633
1
0.2067
0.6056
0.6767
0.904
0.7562
0.6223
0.1295
0.092
1
0.4565
1.4914
0.55
0.45
1
7
0.9474
0.5134
0.8771
7.6229
0.65
4.7916
12.7316
1.4914
0
0.305
0.84
0.9964
0.5681
0.3983
0.7532
0.6223
-4.3671
7.1938
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 02:50:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:25:00 | 6.7471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 04:40:00 | 6.6947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 05:05:00 | 6.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:40:00 | 6.6773 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:10:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:50:00 | 6.6677 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:15:00 | 6.6254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:15:00 | 6.5826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:25:00 | 6.5826 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 6.3691 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 6.3993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 6.4537 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 6.5147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:15:00 | 6.5826 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 6.3451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 6.5878 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5857 | 6.5728 | 6.6115 | 2 | 10.219 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.5728 - 6.5857 = -0.0129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5857 - 6.6115 = -0.0258
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0258 / -0.0129 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4089.8555 | 100 | 621.0206 | 41.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0129 = -620.16
Taille de position USD = -620.16 x 6.5857 = -4084.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -620.16 avec un stoploss a 6.5728
Avec un position size USD de -4084.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -620.16 x -0.0129 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -620.16 x -0.0258 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.208 % | 106.18 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5857 | 6.5728 | 6.6115 | 2 | 10.219 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.5728 - 6.5857 = -0.0129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5857 - 6.6115 = -0.0258
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0258 / -0.0129 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.6115
[entry_price] => 6.5857
[stop_loss] => 6.57151
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 11:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.6115
[entry_price] => 6.5857
[stop_loss] => 6.57022
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 11:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.6115
[entry_price] => 6.5857
[stop_loss] => 6.56893
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 11:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.6115
[entry_price] => 6.5857
[stop_loss] => 6.56635
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-15 13:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -0.084% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -0.169% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.172% | 0.9R | -0.292% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -1.540% | 7.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.172% | 0.9R | -1.540% | 7.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.