Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 3921.49 NIL at 0.0458$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0499 (8.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04378 (4.45 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 3921.49 NIL at 0.0458$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0499 (8.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04378 (4.45 %)
Position
Entry 0.04582$
Qty 3921.4917 NIL
Size 179.6867$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0499 (+8.9%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.04378 (-4.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4720
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.49×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.002984 15m : -0.060472 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 05:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7500 | r1h: -2.679% · r4h: 12.915% · r1d: 20.77% · r3d: 38.47% · ema21_slope: 0.7567% · dist_ema21: 12.344% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7675 | rs_1h: -2.581% · rs_4h: 13.106% · rs_1d: 20.66% · rs_3d: 39.69% · beta_24h: -3.268 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9584 | rvol_20: 2.87× · zscore_50: 2.678 · trend: 215.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8031 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 17.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6481 | ATR%: 4.056% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +9.638% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +9.937% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.937% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +10.563% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +14.079% | 3.2R | -0.354% | 0.1R | 39.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.58% | +1.00 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.71% | +0.79 | 15/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.07% | +0.77 | 15/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 5.345×ATR | p83 | +2.891×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.909×ATR | p55 | +0.37×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.748×ATR | p7 | +0.256×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63034.4
-0.000467281
63005
-0.002984
62972.5
0.000515923
63005
-0.060472
63369.4
-0.00576669
63004
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0.054116
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0.2412
0.98
2.3257
0.7361
0.5425
0.7423
0.6451
-2.2052
4.0083
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 01:40:00 | 0.044454 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:50:00 | 0.04508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:50:00 | 0.043185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:35:00 | 0.044612 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 04:05:00 | 0.043844 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:50:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:05:00 | 0.049053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:10:00 | 0.053271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:50:00 | 0.045583 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 12:45:00 | 0.041523 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 14:15:00 | 0.042675 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:45:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.044876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:30:00 | 0.047435 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 0.043185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:45:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.049053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:45:00 | 0.045732 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.035788 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.04471 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.043738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 0.043332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:00:00 | 0.04026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.041206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.04375 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04582 | 0.04378 | 0.0499 | 2 | 0.1078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04378 - 0.04582 = -0.00204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04582 - 0.0499 = -0.00408
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00408 / -0.00204 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179.6867 | 100 | 3921.4917 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00204 = -3921.57
Taille de position USD = -3921.57 x 0.04582 = -179.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -3921.57 avec un stoploss a 0.04378
Avec un position size USD de -179.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3921.57 x -0.00204 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3921.57 x -0.00408 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.9 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 8.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04582 | 0.04378 | 0.0499 | 2 | 0.1078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04378 - 0.04582 = -0.00204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04582 - 0.0499 = -0.00408
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00408 / -0.00204 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +9.638% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +9.937% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +9.937% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +10.563% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +14.079% | 3.2R | -0.354% | 0.1R | 39.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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