Short Trade on CRV (BosPullback)
With 3195.16 CRV at 0.242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2356 (2.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2444 (1.03 %)
Short Trade on CRV (BosPullback)
With 3195.16 CRV at 0.242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2356 (2.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2444 (1.03 %)
Position
Entry 0.2419$
Qty 3195.1561 CRV
Size 772.8444$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2356 (+2.6%)
TP $ 20.13$
SL 0.2444 (-1.03%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.52
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0886
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.59×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.83×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 15/08 06:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4088 | r1h: 0.494% · r4h: 0.219% · r1d: -1.95% · r3d: -12.77% · ema21_slope: -0.1197% · dist_ema21: -0.212% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3995 | rs_1h: 0.338% · rs_4h: 0.322% · rs_1d: -2.31% · rs_3d: -11.09% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1387 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.919 · trend: -67.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4977 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 71.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.517% | 0.5R | -0.174% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.661% | 0.6R | -0.174% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.661% | 0.6R | -0.434% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.199% | 1.2R | -0.434% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.199% | 1.2R | -0.434% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.94 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -1.49% | -0.61 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.21 | range_low | -0.68% | -0.15 | 15/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.04% | +0.02 | 15/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 3.221×ATR | p25 | +0.766×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 6.098×ATR | p97 | -1.113×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 0.769×ATR | p0 | -0.24×ATR | p10 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.291×ATR | p62 | +0.512×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.2442
141
0.2514
0.5887
0.3538
0.2566
0.4333
0.5989
0.4351
0.57
0.2999
0
0.598
0.0914
-0.0615
-0.1085
0
-0.1781
-2.1317
0.5
0.5
-1
11
1
0.4869
0.5361
3.4366
0.6
0.5989
2.0582
-2.1317
0.5015
0.1921
0
-0.3501
0.4545
0.4169
0.7785
0.0914
-17.8755
1.7989
1
1
1
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0.23766
0.2442
0.2442
0.23766
0.2429
0.23753
0.240215
0.7567
0.24899
0.24202
0.245505
0.6845
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:49 | 0.24188000 | -0.008% |
| 2 | 06:55 | 0.24174000 | -0.066% |
| 3 | 07:07 | 0.24156000 | -0.141% |
| 4 | 07:13 | 0.24149000 | -0.169% |
| 5 | 07:25 | 0.24155000 | -0.145% |
| 6 | 07:37 | 0.24100000 | -0.372% |
| 7 | 07:43 | 0.24100000 | -0.372% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2419 | 0.2444 | 0.2356 | 2.52 | 0.3494 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2444 - 0.2419 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2419 - 0.2356 = 0.0063
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0025 = 2.52
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 772.8444 | 100 | 3195.1561 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0025 = 3200
Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.2419 = 774.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.2444
Avec un position size USD de 774.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3200 x 0.0025 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3200 x 0.0063 = 20.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.6 % | 20.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4427 % | 139.59 % | 30 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2419 | 0.2444 | 0.2356 | 2.52 | 0.3494 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2444 - 0.2419 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2419 - 0.2356 = 0.0063
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0025 = 2.52
Array
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Array
(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.517% | 0.5R | -0.174% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.661% | 0.6R | -0.174% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.661% | 0.6R | -0.434% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.199% | 1.2R | -0.434% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.199% | 1.2R | -0.434% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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