Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 900.96 AVAX at 6.569$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5866 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 6.5599 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 900.96 AVAX at 6.569$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5866 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 6.5599 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 6.5688$
Qty 900.9628 AVAX
Size 5918.2444$ (margin 100$) (leverage 59)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5866 (+0.27%)
TP $ 16.04$
SL 6.5599 (-0.14%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8911
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.37×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.61×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 08:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.361078 15m : 0.268302 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5779 | r1h: -0.126% · r4h: -0.574% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 4.42% · ema21_slope: 0.1818% · dist_ema21: 0.339% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5764 | rs_1h: -0.124% · rs_4h: -0.541% · rs_1d: 3.26% · rs_3d: 6.26% · beta_24h: 1.684 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1899 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.387 · trend: -38.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7256 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 19.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.851% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -0.286% | 2.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.394% | 2.9R | -0.397% | 2.9R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -1.286% | 9.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -5.275% | 38.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.5ATR | near -1.0ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.26 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.43% | +0.53 | 15/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.65% | +0.21 | 15/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | -0.10 | 15/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.99×ATR | p0 | +0.676×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.453×ATR | p33 | +0.995×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 5.268×ATR | p88 | +0.3×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 4.79×ATR | p76 | -1.874×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63023.7
-0.000837593
62971
0.361078
62982
-0.00017541
62971
0.268302
63391.2
-0.00656671
62975
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1.4519
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0.9474
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7.6229
0.7
4.7916
12.7316
1.4519
0
0.3107
0.68
0.2773
0.4993
0.3656
0.7318
0.5985
-6.3227
9.4232
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 06:10:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:50:00 | 6.6677 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:15:00 | 6.6254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:15:00 | 6.5826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:25:00 | 6.5826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:35:00 | 6.597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:25:00 | 6.5802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:45:00 | 6.5961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:45:00 | 6.583 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:50:00 | 6.5669 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 6.3691 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:15:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:15:00 | 6.3993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 6.4537 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | 6.5147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 01:45:00 | 6.4771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 6.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:45:00 | 6.5669 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 6.3635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 6.4844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 6.3451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 6.4896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 6.3874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 6.8771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 6.5669 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5688 | 6.5599 | 6.5866 | 2 | 10.453 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.5599 - 6.5688 = -0.0089000000000006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5688 - 6.5866 = -0.017799999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.017799999999999 / -0.0089000000000006 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5918.2444 | 100 | 900.9628 | 59.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0089000000000006 = -898.88
Taille de position USD = -898.88 x 6.5688 = -5904.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -898.88 avec un stoploss a 6.5599
Avec un position size USD de -5904.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -898.88 x -0.0089000000000006 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -898.88 x -0.017799999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.04 $ | 0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5688 | 6.5599 | 6.5866 | 2 | 10.453 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.5599 - 6.5688 = -0.0089000000000006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5688 - 6.5866 = -0.017799999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.017799999999999 / -0.0089000000000006 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -0.286% | 2.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.394% | 2.9R | -0.397% | 2.9R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -1.286% | 9.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.394% | 2.9R | -5.275% | 38.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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