Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 6260.52 WLD at 0.342$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3441 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3403 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 6260.52 WLD at 0.342$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3441 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3403 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.3416$
Qty 6260.5157 WLD
Size 2138.467$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3441 (+0.73%)
TP $ 15.65$
SL 0.3403 (-0.38%)
SL $ 8.14$
RR 1.92
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7450
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.14×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 08:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.255998 15m : 0.274499 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5440 | r1h: 0.391% · r4h: -0.615% · r1d: 2.90% · r3d: 3.12% · ema21_slope: 0.0611% · dist_ema21: 0.351% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5782 | rs_1h: 0.392% · rs_4h: -0.581% · rs_1d: 2.61% · rs_3d: 4.95% · beta_24h: 1.139 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1298 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -1.116 · trend: -46.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4957 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.211% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.624% | 1.6R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.624% | 1.6R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.169% | 5.7R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.850% | 10.1R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 15.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.850% | 10.1R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 15.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.01 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.43 | bear_medium | -1.46% | +0.33 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.42 | range_low | -0.75% | +0.06 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | -0.12% | -0.11 | 15/08 08:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.248×ATR | p0 | +0.464×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.094×ATR | p0 | +0.585×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.503×ATR | p2 | +0.142×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.392×ATR | p74 | -0.909×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63022.8
-0.000934514
62964
0.255998
62980.6
-0.000327165
62960
0.274499
63390.8
-0.00686054
62956
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0.34981
193
0.6866
0.539
0.2767
0.2023
0.3375
1
0.3496
0.5447
0.6339
0.008
0.5806
0.6676
0.0267
0.0347
1
0.1393
0.7029
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.5954
0.5754
2.6265
0.5
1.3361
2.5408
0.7029
0.5198
0.3209
0
-0.288
0.3828
0.4442
0.7243
0.6676
-2.7209
5.4643
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:25 | 0.34158000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 08:32 | 0.34111000 | -0.143% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 07:05:00 | 0.34597 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:35:00 | 0.34854 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.34604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:20:00 | 0.34808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:50:00 | 0.34467 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:20:00 | 0.34844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.343 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:20:00 | 0.342 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:45:00 | 0.34451 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:20:00 | 0.34096 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 19:45:00 | 0.3469 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:30:00 | 0.33506 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 00:30:00 | 0.34466 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 0.34046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:15:00 | 0.34694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:30:00 | 0.3384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 0.34981 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:15:00 | 0.34844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:15:00 | 0.342 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:45:00 | 0.34451 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.33994 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.32629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:00:00 | 0.3535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 0.33585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.34424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 11:00:00 | 0.33318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.34718 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 23:00:00 | 0.33506 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 0.34981 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 0.342 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3416 | 0.3403 | 0.3441 | 1.92 | 0.5403 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3403 - 0.3416 = -0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3416 - 0.3441 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0013 = 1.9231
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2138.467 | 100 | 6260.5157 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0013 = -6153.85
Taille de position USD = -6153.85 x 0.3416 = -2102.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -6153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.3403
Avec un position size USD de -2102.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6153.85 x -0.0013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6153.85 x -0.0025 = 15.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 15.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.65 $ | 0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.243 % | 63.85 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3416 | 0.3403 | 0.3441 | 1.92 | 0.5403 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3403 - 0.3416 = -0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3416 - 0.3441 = -0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.0013 = 1.9231
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.624% | 1.6R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.624% | 1.6R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.169% | 5.7R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.850% | 10.1R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 15.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.850% | 10.1R | -0.243% | 0.6R | 15.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.