Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7511.38 NIL at 0.0466$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04871 (4.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04552 (2.28 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7511.38 NIL at 0.0466$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04871 (4.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04552 (2.28 %)
Position
Entry 0.04658$
Qty 7511.3844 NIL
Size 349.9028$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04871 (+4.57%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.04552 (-2.28%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8734
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.40×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.62×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 09:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.027318 15m : -0.085123 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6835 | r1h: -1.534% · r4h: -9.036% · r1d: 13.50% · r3d: 12.72% · ema21_slope: 0.6881% · dist_ema21: 1.735% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5616 | rs_1h: -1.429% · rs_4h: -9.080% · rs_1d: 13.17% · rs_3d: 14.54% · beta_24h: -5.485 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3882 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.177 · trend: 122.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7819 | ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 32.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2059 | ATR%: 5.382% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.708% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.271% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +8.759% | 3.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +12.218% | 5.4R | -0.397% | 0.2R | 30.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.218% | 5.4R | -1.979% | 0.9R | 6.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.99 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.46% | +1.00 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.01 | bear_low | -0.78% | +0.90 | 15/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | -0.06 | range_low | -0.15% | -0.81 | 15/08 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.41×ATR | p0 | +1.5×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.697×ATR | p0 | +1.443×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.748×ATR | p0 | +0.26×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.07×ATR | p16 | -0.873×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63020
-3.28676E-5
63018
-0.027318
62981.9
0.000573021
63018
-0.085123
63375.9
-0.00515865
63049
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0.92
2.5837
0.7247
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0.7747
0.6608
-2.1018
4.095
1
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1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 04:45:00 | 0.045618 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:50:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:05:00 | 0.049053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:10:00 | 0.053271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:50:00 | 0.045583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:50:00 | 0.048198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 0.050373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:30:00 | 0.047199 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:15:00 | 0.048853 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.046577 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:45:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.044876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 00:30:00 | 0.047435 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 0.043185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:45:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.049053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:45:00 | 0.045583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 0.050373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.046577 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.035788 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.04471 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.043738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 0.043332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:00:00 | 0.04026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.041206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.04375 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04658 | 0.04552 | 0.04871 | 2.01 | 0.1092 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04552 - 0.04658 = -0.00106
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04658 - 0.04871 = -0.00213
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00213 / -0.00106 = 2.0094
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 349.9028 | 100 | 7511.3844 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00106 = -7547.17
Taille de position USD = -7547.17 x 0.04658 = -351.55
Donc, tu peux acheter -7547.17 avec un stoploss a 0.04552
Avec un position size USD de -351.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7547.17 x -0.00106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7547.17 x -0.00213 = 16.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.28 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 4.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04658 | 0.04552 | 0.04871 | 2.01 | 0.1092 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04552 - 0.04658 = -0.00106
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04658 - 0.04871 = -0.00213
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00213 / -0.00106 = 2.0094
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.708% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +7.271% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +8.759% | 3.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +12.218% | 5.4R | -0.397% | 0.2R | 30.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.218% | 5.4R | -1.979% | 0.9R | 6.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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