Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 741.43 ETHFI at 0.48$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4895 (2 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4691 (2.25 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 741.43 ETHFI at 0.48$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4895 (2 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4691 (2.25 %)
Position
Entry 0.4799$
Qty 741.4272 ETHFI
Size 355.8184$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4895 (+2%)
TP $ 7.12$
SL 0.4691 (-2.25%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.89
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9675
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8140 | r1h: 0.818% · r4h: -1.607% · r1d: 9.66% · r3d: 25.31% · ema21_slope: 0.4138% · dist_ema21: 2.740% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7477 | rs_1h: 0.888% · rs_4h: -1.635% · rs_1d: 9.58% · rs_3d: 25.97% · beta_24h: -3.203 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1682 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.738 · trend: -36.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8666 | ADX: 46.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.929% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.942% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.088% | 0.0R | -0.942% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.311% | 0.1R | -0.942% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.398% | 0.2R | -1.536% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.398% | 0.2R | -1.875% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.13% | +0.89 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.34 | bear_medium | -1.33% | +0.98 | 15/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.21 | range_low | -0.58% | +0.56 | 15/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | -0.01% | -0.14 | 15/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.173×ATR | p44 | +2.329×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 6.877×ATR | p93 | +1.974×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 1.092×ATR | p2 | +1.238×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 1.922×ATR | p24 | -0.133×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4799 | 0.4691 | 0.4895 | 0.89 | 0.7763 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4691 - 0.4799 = -0.0108
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4799 - 0.4895 = -0.0096
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0108 = 0.8889
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 355.8184 | 100 | 741.4272 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0108 = -740.74
Taille de position USD = -740.74 x 0.4799 = -355.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -740.74 avec un stoploss a 0.4691
Avec un position size USD de -355.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -740.74 x -0.0108 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -740.74 x -0.0096 = 7.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.11$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2 % | 7.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.25 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.39 $ | -0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8754 % | 83.33 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4799 | 0.4691 | 0.4895 | 0.89 | 0.7763 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4691 - 0.4799 = -0.0108
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4799 - 0.4895 = -0.0096
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0108 = 0.8889
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.942% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.088% | 0.0R | -0.942% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.311% | 0.1R | -0.942% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.398% | 0.2R | -1.536% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.398% | 0.2R | -1.875% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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