Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7893.28 NIL at 0.049$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05107 (4.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04803 (2.06 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7893.28 NIL at 0.049$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05107 (4.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04803 (2.06 %)
Position
Entry 0.04904$
Qty 7893.2828 NIL
Size 387.0945$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05107 (+4.14%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.04803 (-2.06%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9262
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.80×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.02768 15m : -0.046432 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9326 | r1h: -0.127% · r4h: 5.863% · r1d: 20.45% · r3d: 20.96% · ema21_slope: 0.4921% · dist_ema21: 6.452% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8627 | rs_1h: -0.219% · rs_4h: 5.847% · rs_1d: 20.24% · rs_3d: 21.48% · beta_24h: -13.454 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2167 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.380 · trend: -18.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6781 | ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5058 | ATR%: 4.483% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -5.394% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -6.896% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.005% | 0.5R | -6.896% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -10.865% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -11.177% | 5.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -5.13% | +0.99 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.27% | +0.94 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.51% | +0.82 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.02% | +0.07 | 15/08 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.545×ATR | p0 | +1.606×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0.778×ATR | p0 | +1.764×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.089×ATR | p22 | +0.991×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.722×ATR | p8 | +0.317×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63038.7
0.000162982
63049
0.02768
63021.4
0.000437867
63049
-0.046432
63252.8
-0.00319055
63051
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0.046577
192
0.7537
0.5791
0.4318
0.2486
0.5817
0.7925
0.5681
0.506
0.7217
0.832
0.7153
0.8559
0.1151
0.0889
1
1.185
2.3471
0.65
0.35
1
13
1
0.5028
0.5551
3.4192
0.55
0.7925
1.4577
2.3471
0.7776
0.2069
0.72
0.4179
0.5937
0.605
0.8157
0.8559
-1.227
7.2896
1
0
2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 13:45:00 | 0.048307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:25:00 | 0.047397 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 0.05066 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 0.047721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:45:00 | 0.048687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:50:00 | 0.047888 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 18:50:00 | 0.051875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:10:00 | 0.049949 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:55:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:30:00 | 0.048741 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 02:45:00 | 0.043185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:45:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.049053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:45:00 | 0.045583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 0.050373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.046577 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 0.05066 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:15:00 | 0.047721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:45:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:30:00 | 0.048741 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.04471 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.043738 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 0.043332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:00:00 | 0.04026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.041206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.04375 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04904 | 0.04803 | 0.05107 | 2.01 | 0.08757 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04803 - 0.04904 = -0.00101
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04904 - 0.05107 = -0.00203
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00203 / -0.00101 = 2.0099
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 387.0945 | 100 | 7893.2828 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00101 = -7920.79
Taille de position USD = -7920.79 x 0.04904 = -388.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -7920.79 avec un stoploss a 0.04803
Avec un position size USD de -388.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7920.79 x -0.00101 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7920.79 x -0.00203 = 16.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.14 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.06 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -2.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.2088 % | 204.36 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04904 | 0.04803 | 0.05107 | 2.01 | 0.08757 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04803 - 0.04904 = -0.00101
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04904 - 0.05107 = -0.00203
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00203 / -0.00101 = 2.0099
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -5.394% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -6.896% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.005% | 0.5R | -6.896% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -10.865% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.005% | 0.5R | -11.177% | 5.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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