Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 130.18 ACE at 0.153$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1492 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2145 (40.2 %)
15 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04
hyperliquid
ACE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
15 Aug 2026 18:10
→ 20:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.153$
Qty 130.1765 ACE
Size 19.917$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1492 (+2.48%)
TP $ 0.49$
SL 0.2145 (-40.2%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.062
Status
win
PnL
+2.48%
/ +0.49$
MAE -3.01%
MFE +14.97%
0.4R
expires
16 Aug 00:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70731)
#41 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 18:00
score du 15/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0116
Quality Score
0.248
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
12.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 18:01
15/08 18:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#41 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
40.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#41 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
40.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.61×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.83×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 15/08 17:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1553
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
15/08 18:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
15/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.2480
Score SMA
0.5335
Rank
#41
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0116
Rank Norm SMA
0.4776
Calculé le
15/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1968 | r1h: -2.416% · r4h: -6.473% · r1d: -53.14% · r3d: 45.43% · ema21_slope: -1.6298% · dist_ema21: -17.884% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2696 | rs_1h: -2.529% · rs_4h: -6.631% · rs_1d: -53.50% · rs_3d: 45.92% · beta_24h: -21.379 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1524 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.713 · trend: -54.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6071 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 16.482% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -40.196%
(0.0615)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.961% | 0.1R | -2.092% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.268% | 0.1R | -2.092% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +13.399% | 0.3R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +14.967% | 0.4R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.967% | 0.4R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +14.967% | 0.4R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bear_high | -5.13% | +1.00 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | -0.02 | bear_medium | -1.27% | +1.00 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | -0.06 | range_low | -0.36% | -0.98 | 15/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.15% | -0.78 | 15/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 4.274×ATR | p46 | +0.95×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.31×ATR | p18 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.492×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 29b | — | 4.648×ATR | p81 | -1.73×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.21445502
- tp_price: 0.149175
- atr: 0.02458201
- expires_at: 2026-08-16T04:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 40
- total: 41
- score: 0.1968
- delta_2h: -0.1546
- extension_atr: -1.37
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0116
- confidence: 0.975
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:10 | 0.15300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:10 | 0.15370000 | +0.458% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.153 | 0.2145 | 0.1492 | 0.062 | 0.1823 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.153
- Stop Loss: 0.2145
- Take Profit: 0.1492
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2145 - 0.153 = 0.0615
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.153 - 0.1492 = 0.0038
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0038 / 0.0615 = 0.0618
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.917 | 19.917 | 130.1765 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0615
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0615 = 130.08
Taille de position USD = 130.08 x 0.153 = 19.9
Donc, tu peux acheter 130.08 avec un stoploss a 0.2145
Avec un position size USD de 19.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 130.08 x 0.0615 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 130.08 x 0.0038 = 0.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 0.49$
Résumé
- Taille de position 130.08
- Taille de position USD 19.9
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 0.49
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.0618
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 0.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 40.2 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.49 $ | 2.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0915 % | 5.2 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.153 | 0.2145 | 0.1492 | 0.062 | 0.1823 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.153
- Stop Loss: 0.2145
- Take Profit: 0.1492
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2145 - 0.153 = 0.0615
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.153 - 0.1492 = 0.0038
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0038 / 0.0615 = 0.0618
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -40.196%
(0.0615)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.961% | 0.1R | -2.092% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.268% | 0.1R | -2.092% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +13.399% | 0.3R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +14.967% | 0.4R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.967% | 0.4R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +14.967% | 0.4R | -3.007% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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