Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 88.18 HYPE at 56.86$ per unit. Take profit: 57.0415 (0.32 %) & Stop Loss: 56.7693 (0.16 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 88.18 HYPE at 56.86$ per unit. Take profit: 57.0415 (0.32 %) & Stop Loss: 56.7693 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 56.86$
Qty 88.1779 HYPE
Size 5013.7943$ (margin 100$) (leverage 50)
Risk Setup
TP 57.0415 (+0.32%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.7693 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7760
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.38×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.95×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 19:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.390304 15m : 0.399199 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 15/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5259 | r1h: 0.021% · r4h: -0.023% · r1d: 1.10% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0653% · dist_ema21: 0.606% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5238 | rs_1h: 0.037% · rs_4h: -0.180% · rs_1d: 0.68% · rs_3d: 2.10% · beta_24h: 1.423 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1500 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.992 · trend: -37.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6481 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.595% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.232% | 1.5R | -0.209% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.232% | 1.5R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.744% | 4.7R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.744% | 4.7R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.208% | 7.6R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.13% | -0.07 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.18% | +0.13 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | -0.38% | +0.06 | 15/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.12% | -0.02 | 15/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.308×ATR | p0 | +0.319×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.165×ATR | p3 | +0.852×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.479×ATR | p64 | +1.033×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.53×ATR | p48 | +0.054×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63075.2
0.000488211
63106
0.390304
63019.5
0.00137114
63106
0.399199
63239.5
-0.00181128
63125
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55.822
188
0.6027
0.5464
0.3462
0.2061
0.4608
0.9821
0.4821
0.4714
0.4047
0.1583
0.6362
0.6857
0.1576
0.0786
1
1.04
1.5878
0.65
0.35
-1
27
1
0.5877
0.6144
2.3731
0.5
0.9821
1.7306
1.5878
0.642
0.3456
0.06
-0.1166
0.4523
0.5502
0.6343
0.6857
-4.7047
10.2642
1
1
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:04 | 56.86000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:09 | 56.82400000 | -0.063% |
| 3 | 19:14 | 56.80800000 | -0.091% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 57.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 17:30:00 | 56.893 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 18:10:00 | 57.155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 56.855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:50:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 56.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:40:00 | 57.121 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:50:00 | 56.982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:10:00 | 57.088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 56.859 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 56.729 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:30:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 56.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:30:00 | 56.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:45:00 | 56.222 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 57.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 56.855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:45:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 56.859 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 58.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 01:00:00 | 57.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 55.302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 56.729 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.86 | 56.7693 | 57.0415 | 2 | 90.86 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.7693 - 56.86 = -0.090699999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.86 - 57.0415 = -0.1815
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1815 / -0.090699999999998 = 2.0011
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5013.7943 | 100 | 88.1779 | 50.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.090699999999998 = -88.2
Taille de position USD = -88.2 x 56.86 = -5015.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -88.2 avec un stoploss a 56.7693
Avec un position size USD de -5015.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -88.2 x -0.090699999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -88.2 x -0.1815 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2093 % | 131.22 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.86 | 56.7693 | 57.0415 | 2 | 90.86 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.7693 - 56.86 = -0.090699999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.86 - 57.0415 = -0.1815
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1815 / -0.090699999999998 = 2.0011
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.232% | 1.5R | -0.209% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.232% | 1.5R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.744% | 4.7R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.744% | 4.7R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.208% | 7.6R | -0.257% | 1.6R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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