Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 303.43 LINK at 9.473$ per unit. Take profit: 9.5257 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 9.4466 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 303.43 LINK at 9.473$ per unit. Take profit: 9.5257 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 9.4466 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 9.473$
Qty 303.4335 LINK
Size 2874.4256$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 9.5257 (+0.56%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 9.4466 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9063
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.42×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 15/08 19:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.265874 15m : 0.174952 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 14/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 15/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6542 | r1h: -0.506% · r4h: -0.211% · r1d: 6.56% · r3d: 9.97% · ema21_slope: 0.1987% · dist_ema21: 1.031% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6356 | rs_1h: -0.490% · rs_4h: -0.368% · rs_1d: 6.14% · rs_3d: 10.42% · beta_24h: 4.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2117 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.503 · trend: -16.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7205 | ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 47.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.931% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.095% | 0.3R | -0.543% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.095% | 0.3R | -0.543% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.411% | 1.5R | -0.556% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.411% | 1.5R | -1.575% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.411% | 1.5R | -1.575% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.13% | +0.83 | 14/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.72 | bear_medium | -1.21% | +0.70 | 15/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.40% | -0.08 | 15/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.23 | range_low | +0.05% | -0.09 | 15/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.123×ATR | p67 | +3.412×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.827×ATR | p0 | +2.487×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.448×ATR | p76 | +1.016×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 3.04×ATR | p50 | -1.874×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63082.6
5.29209E-5
63086
0.265874
63029.2
0.000773982
63078
0.174952
63263.7
-0.00293563
63078
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193
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0.7931
0.324
0.6084
0.8077
0.1583
0.1778
1
0.3004
3.0549
0.75
0.25
1
20
1
0.4893
0.4673
8.8704
0.5
0.7754
3.7633
3.0549
0.7954
0.2007
0.54
-0.4529
0.4343
0.504
0.9191
0.8077
-3.5175
14.771
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:43 | 9.47300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:49 | 9.47890000 | +0.062% |
| 3 | 19:55 | 9.47630000 | +0.035% |
| 4 | 20:01 | 9.46410000 | -0.094% |
| 5 | 20:07 | 9.46050000 | -0.132% |
| 6 | 20:13 | 9.45740000 | -0.165% |
| 7 | 20:19 | 9.43420000 | -0.41% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 17:20:00 | 9.6285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:35:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:05:00 | 9.5329 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:40:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:15:00 | 9.5509 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 9.5422 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:50:00 | 9.5843 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:30:00 | 9.5865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:30:00 | 9.4649 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 11:30:00 | 9.2749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 14:15:00 | 9.5283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:15:00 | 9.4164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:15:00 | 9.6285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:30:00 | 9.5082 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:30:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 9.5918 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 9.5422 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:30:00 | 9.5865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:30:00 | 9.4649 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 8.8095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 8.6711 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 8.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 8.9023 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 8.7196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 8.7581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 9.7456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 9.2243 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 9.6285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 9.4649 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.473 | 9.4466 | 9.5257 | 2 | 14.304 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.4466 - 9.473 = -0.026400000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.473 - 9.5257 = -0.0527
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0527 / -0.026400000000001 = 1.9962
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2874.4256 | 100 | 303.4335 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.026400000000001 = -303.03
Taille de position USD = -303.03 x 9.473 = -2870.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -303.03 avec un stoploss a 9.4466
Avec un position size USD de -2870.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -303.03 x -0.026400000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -303.03 x -0.0527 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5426 % | 194.69 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.473 | 9.4466 | 9.5257 | 2 | 14.304 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.4466 - 9.473 = -0.026400000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.473 - 9.5257 = -0.0527
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0527 / -0.026400000000001 = 1.9962
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.095% | 0.3R | -0.543% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.095% | 0.3R | -0.543% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.411% | 1.5R | -0.556% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.411% | 1.5R | -1.575% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.411% | 1.5R | -1.575% | 5.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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