Long Trade on XMR (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1.45 XMR at 413.29$ per unit. Take profit: 416.8324 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 407.77 (1.34 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 00:15:10
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 00:15
→ 06:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 413.29$
Qty 1.4493 XMR
Size 598.971$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 416.8324 (+0.86%)
TP $ 5.13$
SL 407.77 (-1.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.64
Status
loss
PnL
-1.34%
/ -8$
MAE -1.40%
MFE +1.36%
1.0R
expires
16 Aug 12:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 70992)
#8 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 00:00
score du 16/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8608
Quality Score
0.570
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 00:03
16/08 00:03
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.74×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 15/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 15/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1559
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 00:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5703
Score SMA
0.5668
Rank
#8
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8608
Rank Norm SMA
0.7944
Calculé le
16/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6162 | r1h: 0.914% · r4h: 0.630% · r1d: 2.14% · r3d: 3.95% · ema21_slope: 0.1079% · dist_ema21: 1.291% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6148 | rs_1h: 0.909% · rs_4h: 0.558% · rs_1d: 2.04% · rs_3d: 4.77% · beta_24h: 1.837 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2253 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.428 · trend: -13.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5780 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 41.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.814% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.336%
(5.5200)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.636% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.636% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.808% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.523% | 0.4R | -1.401% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.362% | 1.0R | -1.401% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.56
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.07% | +0.95 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late_trend | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.20% | +0.50 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.10 | range_low | -0.38% | +0.15 | 15/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.13 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.08 | 15/08 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.437×ATR | p5 | +2.003×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.03×ATR | p32 | +1.735×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.606×ATR | p6 | +1.177×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.048×ATR | p24 | +0.919×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 407.77
- tp_price: 416.83243819
- atr: 1.41697527
- expires_at: 2026-08-16T16:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 41
- score: 0.6162
- avg_rank_8h: 8.8
- rank_velocity: -2.8
- pullback_depth_atr: 6.18
- trigger_price: 412.96
- fip_24h: -0.083
- confidence: 0.875
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413.29 | 407.77 | 416.8324 | 0.64 | 547.11 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 413.29
- Stop Loss: 407.77
- Take Profit: 416.8324
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 407.77 - 413.29 = -5.52
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 413.29 - 416.8324 = -3.5424
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.5424 / -5.52 = 0.6417
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 598.971 | 100 | 1.4493 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -5.52
Taille de position = 8 / -5.52 = -1.45
Taille de position USD = -1.45 x 413.29 = -599.27
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.45 avec un stoploss a 407.77
Avec un position size USD de -599.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.45 x -5.52 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.45 x -3.5424 = 5.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.45
- Taille de position USD -599.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6417
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 5.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.338 % | 100.18 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413.29 | 407.77 | 416.8324 | 0.64 | 547.11 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 413.29
- Stop Loss: 407.77
- Take Profit: 416.8324
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 407.77 - 413.29 = -5.52
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 413.29 - 416.8324 = -3.5424
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.5424 / -5.52 = 0.6417
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.336%
(5.5200)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.636% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.636% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.808% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.523% | 0.4R | -1.401% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.362% | 1.0R | -1.401% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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