Long Trade on CHIP (CatchTheWave)
With 12487.9 CHIP at 0.0269$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02821 (4.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02629 (2.38 %)
Long Trade on CHIP (CatchTheWave)
With 12487.9 CHIP at 0.0269$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02821 (4.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02629 (2.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.02693$
Qty 12487.9023 CHIP
Size 336.2617$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02821 (+4.75%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 0.02629 (-2.38%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9968
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.58×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.16314 15m : -0.158869 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 16/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 16/08 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8525 | r1h: 2.087% · r4h: 0.340% · r1d: 16.67% · r3d: 21.79% · ema21_slope: 0.7855% · dist_ema21: 7.125% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8429 | rs_1h: 2.091% · rs_4h: 0.280% · rs_1d: 16.68% · rs_3d: 22.68% · beta_24h: -0.368 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3223 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.251 · trend: 54.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9113 | ADX: 49.4 (trend) · Chop: 31.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8442 | ATR%: 3.467% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.889% | 1.2R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 7.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.305% | 1.4R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.551% | 2.3R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 14.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +17.609% | 7.4R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 44.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.609% | 7.4R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 44.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -5.07% | +0.47 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.33 | bear_medium | -1.17% | +0.93 | 16/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.18 | range_low | -0.37% | +0.84 | 16/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | -0.03 | range_low | +0.05% | +0.18 | 16/08 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.757×ATR | p0 | +0.911×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.328×ATR | p85 | +1.938×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.472×ATR | p0 | +1.221×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.518×ATR | p5 | +0.623×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63081.7
-0.000265376
63065
-0.16314
63074.9
-0.000157268
63065
-0.158869
63242.7
-0.00281043
63065
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1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 00:35:00 | 0.029184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:55:00 | 0.0277 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 01:45:00 | 0.027786 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.028872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:25:00 | 0.026359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:05:00 | 0.026907 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:40:00 | 0.02857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 04:10:00 | 0.027158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 04:55:00 | 0.028787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 05:10:00 | 0.0267 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 11:15:00 | 0.023792 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:45:00 | 0.025685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:45:00 | 0.024962 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:45:00 | 0.027837 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 22:45:00 | 0.02795 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.026961 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 00:30:00 | 0.029184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:15:00 | 0.026359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 04:45:00 | 0.028787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 05:00:00 | 0.0267 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.022055 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 0.024247 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.022779 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 19:00:00 | 0.02252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.021567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 04:00:00 | 0.024494 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.022339 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 0.024841 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.029184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.026359 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02693 | 0.02629 | 0.02821 | 2 | 0.04508 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02629 - 0.02693 = -0.00064
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02693 - 0.02821 = -0.00128
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00128 / -0.00064 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 336.2617 | 100 | 12487.9023 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00064 = -12500
Taille de position USD = -12500 x 0.02693 = -336.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -12500 avec un stoploss a 0.02629
Avec un position size USD de -336.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12500 x -0.00064 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12500 x -0.00128 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.75 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.38 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 4.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3936 % | 16.56 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02693 | 0.02629 | 0.02821 | 2 | 0.04508 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02629 - 0.02693 = -0.00064
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02693 - 0.02821 = -0.00128
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00128 / -0.00064 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.889% | 1.2R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 7.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.305% | 1.4R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.551% | 2.3R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 14.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +17.609% | 7.4R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 44.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.609% | 7.4R | -0.394% | 0.2R | 44.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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