Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1122.02 ETHFI at 0.478$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4851 (1.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4709 (1.49 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 03:00:07
hyperliquid
ETHFI
LONG
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 03:00
→ 06:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.478$
Qty 1122.0196 ETHFI
Size 536.359$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4851 (+1.49%)
TP $ 7.97$
SL 0.4709 (-1.49%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 1
Status
win
PnL
+1.49%
/ +7.97$
MAE -0.73%
MFE +9.50%
6.4R
expires
16 Aug 15:00
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71057)
#3 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 02:00
score du 16/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9047
Quality Score
0.570
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 02:46
16/08 02:46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.39×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1562
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 03:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5701
Score SMA
0.6823
Rank
#3
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9047
Rank Norm SMA
0.9380
Calculé le
16/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6932 | r1h: -0.296% · r4h: -0.873% · r1d: 5.29% · r3d: 23.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1272% · dist_ema21: -0.068% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6644 | rs_1h: -0.245% · rs_4h: -0.835% · rs_1d: 5.36% · rs_3d: 24.63% · beta_24h: -10.893 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1862 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.470 · trend: -65.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3917 | ADX: 37.1 (trend) · Chop: 89.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.448% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.485%
(0.0071)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.190% | 0.8R | -0.496% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.190% | 0.8R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.538% | 1.0R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.450% | 4.3R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +9.496% | 6.4R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 13.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 5.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.08% | +0.90 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.34 | bear_medium | -1.27% | +0.98 | 16/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.21 | range_low | -0.45% | +0.05 | 16/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | -0.03% | +0.03 | 16/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.356×ATR | p56 | +2.128×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 27b | — | 7.624×ATR | p93 | +1.947×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.718×ATR | p0 | +0.757×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.027×ATR | p27 | +0.662×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.4709
- tp_price: 0.48510539
- atr: 0.00283015
- expires_at: 2026-08-16T19:00:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 39
- score: 0.6932
- avg_rank_8h: 2.8
- rank_velocity: -0.8
- pullback_depth_atr: 3.85
- trigger_price: 0.47737
- fip_24h: 0.083
- confidence: 0.974
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.478 | 0.4709 | 0.4851 | 1 | 0.7138 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.478
- Stop Loss: 0.4709
- Take Profit: 0.4851
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4709 - 0.478 = -0.0071
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.478 - 0.4851 = -0.0071
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0071 / -0.0071 = 1
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 536.359 | 100 | 1122.0196 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0071
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0071 = -1126.76
Taille de position USD = -1126.76 x 0.478 = -538.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -1126.76 avec un stoploss a 0.4709
Avec un position size USD de -538.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1126.76 x -0.0071 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1126.76 x -0.0071 = 8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1126.76
- Taille de position USD -538.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.49 % | 7.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.49 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.97 $ | 1.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.728 % | 49.01 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.478 | 0.4709 | 0.4851 | 1 | 0.7138 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.478
- Stop Loss: 0.4709
- Take Profit: 0.4851
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4709 - 0.478 = -0.0071
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.478 - 0.4851 = -0.0071
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0071 / -0.0071 = 1
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4922
[stop_loss] => 0.4709
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 13:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.49575
[stop_loss] => 0.4709
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 13:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.485%
(0.0071)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.190% | 0.8R | -0.496% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.190% | 0.8R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.538% | 1.0R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.450% | 4.3R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +9.496% | 6.4R | -0.728% | 0.5R | 13.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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