Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3505.76 FARTCOIN at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1498 (3.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1418 (1.6 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 04:08:57
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 04:08
→ 07:15
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.1441$
Qty 3505.7582 FARTCOIN
Size 505.1096$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1498 (+3.96%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.1418 (-1.6%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-1.60%
/ -8.06$
MAE -1.84%
MFE +1.73%
1.1R
expires
16 Aug 16:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71135)
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 04:00
score du 16/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8695
Quality Score
0.545
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 04:02
16/08 04:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.32×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 03:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1563
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 04:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5448
Score SMA
0.5623
Rank
#6
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8695
Rank Norm SMA
0.8252
Calculé le
16/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5714 | r1h: 0.523% · r4h: -1.341% · r1d: 1.36% · r3d: 7.90% · ema21_slope: 0.1325% · dist_ema21: 0.581% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5894 | rs_1h: 0.526% · rs_4h: -1.243% · rs_1d: 1.38% · rs_3d: 9.14% · beta_24h: 2.605 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1271 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -1.206 · trend: -44.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6706 | ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.113% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.596%
(0.0023)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.285% | 0.2R | -0.312% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.285% | 0.2R | -0.527% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.285% | 0.2R | -1.839% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.444% | 0.3R | -1.839% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.728% | 1.1R | -1.839% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.728% | 1.1R | -2.720% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.96
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.08% | +0.95 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium | -1.27% | +0.79 | 16/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.23 | 16/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | -0.06 | 16/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 3.355×ATR | p21 | +1.273×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.367×ATR | p21 | +1.136×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.39×ATR | p0 | +0.497×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 3.004×ATR | p53 | -0.299×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8594
- reason: up_bo width=2.24×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.14179804
- tp_price: 0.1497849
- atr:
- score: 0.85935674129207
- expires_at: 2026-08-16T20:08:49.769189
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85935674129207
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1023
- obi_top10 : 0.0221
- micro_price : 0.14427439
- spread_pct : 0.069348
- mid_price : 0.14425
- bid_wall_price : 0.143
- bid_wall_size : 1721478.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.145
- ask_wall_size : 1644885.5
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1023
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6976
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.14365
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.14025
- balance_zone_mid:
0.14195
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786759200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786867200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2374
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8594
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786863600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.14365
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6774
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.283
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0015196 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.6774
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.283
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:08 | 0.14408000 | -0.014% |
| 2 | 04:14 | 0.14408000 | -0.014% |
| 3 | 04:20 | 0.14436000 | +0.18% |
| 4 | 04:26 | 0.14436000 | +0.18% |
| 5 | 04:33 | 0.14436000 | +0.18% |
| 6 | 04:38 | 0.14419000 | +0.062% |
| 7 | 04:44 | 0.14419000 | +0.062% |
| 8 | 04:50 | 0.14396000 | -0.097% |
| 9 | 04:56 | 0.14396000 | -0.097% |
| 10 | 05:03 | 0.14396000 | -0.097% |
| 11 | 05:08 | 0.14382000 | -0.194% |
| 12 | 05:15 | 0.14382000 | -0.194% |
| 13 | 05:50 | 0.14374000 | -0.25% |
| 14 | 05:56 | 0.14374000 | -0.25% |
| 15 | 06:03 | 0.14374000 | -0.25% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6976ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.102
avg 0.102
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.022
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1443
Micro Price
0.1443
Spread
0.0693%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1430
Size
1,721,478.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1450
Size
1,644,885.50
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1441 | 0.1418 | 0.1498 | 2.48 | 0.1715 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1441
- Stop Loss: 0.1418
- Take Profit: 0.1498
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1418 - 0.1441 = -0.0023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1441 - 0.1498 = -0.0057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0023 = 2.4783
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 505.1096 | 100 | 3505.7582 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0023
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0023 = -3478.26
Taille de position USD = -3478.26 x 0.1441 = -501.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.1418
Avec un position size USD de -501.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0057 = 19.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.83$
Résumé
- Taille de position -3478.26
- Taille de position USD -501.22
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.83
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4783
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.96 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.6 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.06 $ | -1.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.839 % | 115.22 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1441 | 0.1418 | 0.1498 | 2.48 | 0.1715 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1441
- Stop Loss: 0.1418
- Take Profit: 0.1498
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1418 - 0.1441 = -0.0023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1441 - 0.1498 = -0.0057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0023 = 2.4783
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1498
[entry_price] => 0.1441
[stop_loss] => 0.14157
[rr_ratio] => 2.25
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 11:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.596%
(0.0023)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.285% | 0.2R | -0.312% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.285% | 0.2R | -0.527% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.285% | 0.2R | -1.839% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.444% | 0.3R | -1.839% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.728% | 1.1R | -1.839% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.728% | 1.1R | -2.720% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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