Short Trade on ACE (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 592.59 ACE at 0.143$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1303 (9.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1568 (9.42 %)
Short Trade on ACE (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 592.59 ACE at 0.143$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1303 (9.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1568 (9.42 %)
Position
Entry 0.1433$
Qty 592.5926 ACE
Size 84.9185$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1303 (+9.07%)
TP $ 7.7$
SL 0.1568 (-9.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0278
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.90×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 04:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 16/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 16/08 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3750 | r1h: -5.457% · r4h: 7.154% · r1d: -46.38% · r3d: 37.61% · ema21_slope: -1.5308% · dist_ema21: -11.305% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: -5.454% · rs_4h: 7.252% · rs_1d: -46.37% · rs_3d: 38.85% · beta_24h: 8.893 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2556 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.494 · trend: -19.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3140 | ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 78.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.655% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.117% | 0.1R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.791% | 0.3R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.396% | 0.5R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.048% | 0.8R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.048% | 0.8R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.23 | bear_high | -5.08% | +1.00 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | -0.02 | bear_medium | -1.25% | +1.00 | 16/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | -0.06 | range_low | -0.41% | -0.91 | 16/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | -0.09 | range_low | +0.00% | +0.65 | 16/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 4.68×ATR | p54 | +0.622×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.382×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 26b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.372×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.554×ATR | p0 | +0.408×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1433 | 0.1568 | 0.1303 | 0.96 | 0.1865 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1568 - 0.1433 = 0.0135
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1433 - 0.1303 = 0.013
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.013 / 0.0135 = 0.963
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84.9185 | 84.9185 | 592.5926 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0135 = 592.59
Taille de position USD = 592.59 x 0.1433 = 84.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 592.59 avec un stoploss a 0.1568
Avec un position size USD de 84.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 592.59 x 0.0135 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 592.59 x 0.013 = 7.7
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.7$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.07 % | 7.7 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.21 $ | 6.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.1403 % | 33.33 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1433 | 0.1568 | 0.1303 | 0.96 | 0.1865 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1568 - 0.1433 = 0.0135
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1433 - 0.1303 = 0.013
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.013 / 0.0135 = 0.963
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.117% | 0.1R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.791% | 0.3R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.396% | 0.5R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.048% | 0.8R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.048% | 0.8R | -3.140% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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