16 Aug 2026 at 05:00:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ACE (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 592.59 ACE at 0.143$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1303 (9.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1568 (9.42 %)

ACE SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 05:00 → 16:55 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1433$

Qty 592.5926 ACE

Size 84.9185$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1303 (+9.07%)

TP $ 7.7$

SL 0.1568 (-9.42%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.96

Status win PnL +6.14% / +5.21$ MAE -3.14% MFE +7.05% 0.8R expires 16 Aug 17:00 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71129)
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0278

Quality Score
0.336
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 04:46

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.75×ATR
4h clear 0.90×ATR
1d clear 0.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 04:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

15/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

16/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

16/08 04:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1564
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical range compression — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 16/08 05:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 16/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3357
Score SMA
0.3617
Rank
#37 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0278
Rank Norm SMA
0.0968
Calculé le
16/08/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3750 r1h: -5.457% · r4h: 7.154% · r1d: -46.38% · r3d: 37.61% · ema21_slope: -1.5308% · dist_ema21: -11.305%
Force Relative 25% 0.5000 rs_1h: -5.454% · rs_4h: 7.252% · rs_1d: -46.37% · rs_3d: 38.85% · beta_24h: 8.893
Volume 20% 0.2556 rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.494 · trend: -19.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3140 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 78.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.655% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -9.421% (0.0135)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.117% 0.1R -3.140% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +2.791% 0.3R -3.140% 0.3R 0.9× 24
4h +4.396% 0.5R -3.140% 0.3R 1.4× 48
8h +7.048% 0.8R -3.140% 0.3R 2.2× 96
12h ★ +7.048% 0.8R -3.140% 0.3R 2.2× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.91
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.23 bear_high -5.08% +1.00 15/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 45% early — — -0.02 bear_medium -1.25% +1.00 16/08 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong fading compression bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 42% early — — -0.06 range_low -0.41% -0.91 16/08 04:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 42% early — — -0.09 range_low +0.00% +0.65 16/08 04:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 4.68×ATR p54 +0.622×ATR p38
4h ↑ up early 8b — 0×ATR p0 -0.382×ATR p23
1h ↑ up early 26b — 0×ATR p0 -1.372×ATR p58
15m ↑ up early 8b — 0.554×ATR p0 +0.408×ATR p9

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.1568
  2. tp_price: 0.13030977
  3. atr: 0.00519609
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-16T21:00:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 36
  2. total: 37
  3. score: 0.375
  4. avg_rank_8h: 35
  5. rank_velocity: 1
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 5.14
  7. trigger_price: 0.1438
  8. fip_24h: 0
  9. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1433 0.1568 0.1303 0.96 0.1865
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1433
  • Stop Loss: 0.1568
  • Take Profit: 0.1303

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1568 - 0.1433 = 0.0135

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1433 - 0.1303 = 0.013

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.013 / 0.0135 = 0.963

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
84.9185 84.9185 592.5926 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0135

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0135 = 592.59

Taille de position USD = 592.59 x 0.1433 = 84.92

Donc, tu peux acheter 592.59 avec un stoploss a 0.1568

Avec un position size USD de 84.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 592.59 x 0.0135 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 592.59 x 0.013 = 7.7

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.7$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 592.59
  • Taille de position USD 84.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.7
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.963

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
9.07 % 7.7 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
5.21 $ 6.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.1403 % 33.33 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1433 0.1568 0.1303 0.96 0.1865
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1433
  • Stop Loss: 0.1568
  • Take Profit: 0.1303

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1568 - 0.1433 = 0.0135

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1433 - 0.1303 = 0.013

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.013 / 0.0135 = 0.963

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -9.421% (0.0135)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.117% 0.1R -3.140% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +2.791% 0.3R -3.140% 0.3R 0.9× 24
4h +4.396% 0.5R -3.140% 0.3R 1.4× 48
8h +7.048% 0.8R -3.140% 0.3R 2.2× 96
12h ★ +7.048% 0.8R -3.140% 0.3R 2.2× 144

computed 1 month ago

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