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Long Trade on CHIP

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16 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2996.21 CHIP at 0.0304$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03113 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0277 (8.79 %)

CHIP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 07:10 → 07:20 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.03037$

Qty 2996.2098 CHIP

Size 91.0009$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03113 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.28$

SL 0.0277 (-8.79%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.28

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.28$ MAE -9.86% MFE +4.29% 0.5R expires 16 Aug 13:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71256)
#1 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 1.0000

Quality Score
0.797
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 07:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.70×ATR
4h near 0.07×ATR
1d clear 3.23×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 07:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

15/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

16/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

16/08 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1566
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — -1
Tactical range compression — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 16/08 07:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 16/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.7972
Score SMA
0.7451
Rank
#1 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9499
Calculé le
16/08/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9978 r1h: 1.930% · r4h: 7.454% · r1d: 23.08% · r3d: 28.78% · ema21_slope: 0.6554% · dist_ema21: 8.263%
Force Relative 25% 0.9543 rs_1h: 1.903% · rs_4h: 7.549% · rs_1d: 23.16% · rs_3d: 29.79% · beta_24h: 2.673
Volume 20% 0.3144 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: 0.162 · trend: 12.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7682 ADX: 45.7 (trend) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8115 ATR%: 3.566% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.792% (0.0027)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.287% 0.5R -4.791% 0.5R 0.9× 12
2h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 24
4h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 72
8h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 33% early — — — bear_high -5.08% +0.54 15/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — near 0.1ATR 0.32 bear_medium -1.39% +0.98 16/08 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bearish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 44% mid — near -0.7ATR 0.17 range_low -0.50% +0.91 16/08 06:00
15m ↑ up range range strong grind compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 41% late — — -0.07 range_low -0.09% +0.65 16/08 06:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 7b — 2.686×ATR p0 +0.961×ATR p41
4h ↓ down late 2b — 0.188×ATR p0 +2.683×ATR p95
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 2.414×ATR p33 +1.551×ATR p74
15m ↑ up late 23b — 5.086×ATR p87 +2.076×ATR p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.02770196
  2. tp_price: 0.0311313
  3. atr: 0.00106802
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-16T17:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 37
  3. score: 0.9978
  4. delta_2h: 0.215
  5. extension_atr: 2.56
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 1
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03037 0.0277 0.03113 0.28 0.04334
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03037
  • Stop Loss: 0.0277
  • Take Profit: 0.03113

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0277 - 0.03037 = -0.00267

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03037 - 0.03113 = -0.00076

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076 / -0.00267 = 0.2846

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
91.0009 91.0009 2996.2098 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00267

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00267 = -2996.25

Taille de position USD = -2996.25 x 0.03037 = -91

Donc, tu peux acheter -2996.25 avec un stoploss a 0.0277

Avec un position size USD de -91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2996.25 x -0.00267 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2996.25 x -0.00076 = 2.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.28$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2996.25
  • Taille de position USD -91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.28
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2846

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.28 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.28 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03037 0.0277 0.03113 0.28 0.04334
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03037
  • Stop Loss: 0.0277
  • Take Profit: 0.03113

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0277 - 0.03037 = -0.00267

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03037 - 0.03113 = -0.00076

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076 / -0.00267 = 0.2846

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03571
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.037045
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03838
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.039715
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04105
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.042385
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04372
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.045055
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04639
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.047725
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04906
            [stop_loss] => 0.0277
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 12:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.792% (0.0027)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.287% 0.5R -4.791% 0.5R 0.9× 12
2h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 24
4h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 72
8h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +4.287% 0.5R -9.858% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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