Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 751.39 LIT at 2.321$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3419 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 2.31 (0.46 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 751.39 LIT at 2.321$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3419 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 2.31 (0.46 %)
Position
Entry 2.3206$
Qty 751.3889 LIT
Size 1743.6731$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3419 (+0.92%)
TP $ 16$
SL 2.31 (-0.46%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7538
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.03725 15m : 0.095087 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5762 | r1h: -0.030% · r4h: 0.895% · r1d: 4.07% · r3d: 0.26% · ema21_slope: 0.1410% · dist_ema21: 1.556% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5761 | rs_1h: 0.174% · rs_4h: 0.799% · rs_1d: 3.97% · rs_3d: 0.31% · beta_24h: 1.198 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2721 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.382 · trend: -12.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6979 | ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 53.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.933% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.414% | 0.9R | -0.289% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.595% | 1.3R | -0.289% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.707% | 1.6R | -1.754% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.707% | 1.6R | -2.073% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.848% | 6.2R | -2.073% | 4.5R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.75 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.29 | bear_medium | -0.88% | -0.11 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | -0.27% | +0.34 | 16/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | grind | normal | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.18 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.09 | 16/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.165×ATR | p0 | +0.417×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.473×ATR | p24 | +0.765×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.13×ATR | p34 | +1.265×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.451×ATR | p3 | +0.944×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63089.6
0.000322775
63110
0.03725
63067.4
0.000674735
63110
0.095087
63157.4
-0.000751731
63110
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2.3608
197
0.7468
0.463
0.3184
0.238
0.3842
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0.5402
0.6885
0.4811
0.598
0.5094
0.1635
0.0976
1
0.9202
1.8568
0.55
0.45
1
2
1
0.5239
0.3239
3.5556
0.5
2.0193
3.3384
1.8568
0.5378
0.2697
0.24
0.2056
0.52
0.5037
0.9469
0.5094
-6.0458
6.2782
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:16 | 2.32060000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:21 | 2.32010000 | -0.022% |
| 3 | 14:27 | 2.31920000 | -0.06% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 12:25:00 | 2.338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:05:00 | 2.308 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:10:00 | 2.3379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:40:00 | 2.3113 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:15:00 | 2.3256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:20:00 | 2.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:55:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 17:15:00 | 2.3293 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:50:00 | 2.3463 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:10:00 | 2.3191 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 05:45:00 | 2.2898 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 07:15:00 | 2.2875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 08:45:00 | 2.2971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 2.3199 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:30:00 | 2.2944 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:15:00 | 2.338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 2.308 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 2.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 2.3191 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 2.313 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 2.4196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 2.4162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 2.2065 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 2.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 2.2625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 2.3149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 2.2772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 2.3238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3206 | 2.31 | 2.3419 | 2.01 | 3.6764 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.31 - 2.3206 = -0.0106
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3206 - 2.3419 = -0.0213
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0213 / -0.0106 = 2.0094
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1743.6731 | 100 | 751.3889 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0106 = -754.72
Taille de position USD = -754.72 x 2.3206 = -1751.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -754.72 avec un stoploss a 2.31
Avec un position size USD de -1751.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -754.72 x -0.0106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -754.72 x -0.0213 = 16.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -0.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6677 % | 365.08 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3206 | 2.31 | 2.3419 | 2.01 | 3.6764 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.31 - 2.3206 = -0.0106
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3206 - 2.3419 = -0.0213
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0213 / -0.0106 = 2.0094
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.414% | 0.9R | -0.289% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.595% | 1.3R | -0.289% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.707% | 1.6R | -1.754% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.707% | 1.6R | -2.073% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.848% | 6.2R | -2.073% | 4.5R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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