Short Trade on ADA (CatchTheWave)
With 11149.83 ADA at 0.179$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1773 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1794 (0.39 %)
Short Trade on ADA (CatchTheWave)
With 11149.83 ADA at 0.179$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1773 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1794 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 0.1787$
Qty 11149.8258 ADA
Size 1992.6969$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1773 (+0.78%)
TP $ 15.61$
SL 0.1794 (-0.39%)
SL $ 7.8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3792
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.83×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.91×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.239369 15m : 0.298872 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 16/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4221 | r1h: -0.500% · r4h: -0.488% · r1d: -1.14% · r3d: -3.39% · ema21_slope: -0.0393% · dist_ema21: -0.833% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4264 | rs_1h: -0.477% · rs_4h: -0.556% · rs_1d: -1.30% · rs_3d: -3.11% · beta_24h: 1.120 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2888 | rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: -0.139 · trend: -25.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6853 | ADX: 33.1 (trend) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.498% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.705% | 1.8R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.634% | 4.2R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.350% | 6.0R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 12.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.815% | 7.2R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 15.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.815% | 7.2R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 15.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.87 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.04% | -0.27 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.31 | range_low | -0.16% | +0.01 | 16/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
33%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.39 | range_low | +0.19% | +0.12 | 16/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.162×ATR | p50 | -0.644×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 60b | — | 14.741×ATR | p100 | -1.244×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.902×ATR | p28 | -0.034×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 6.051×ATR | p89 | +3.112×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63106.9
0.00134703
63192
0.239369
63074.7
0.00176316
63186
0.298872
63164.4
0.000119146
63172
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0.17492
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0.3322
0.2268
0.4183
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0.196
0.5006
0.3245
0.904
0.77
0.3144
-0.0117
-0.0475
0.6667
1.739
0.8034
0.4
0.6
-1
1
1
0.5463
0.8208
2.621
0.55
1.6594
2.6031
0.8034
0.1519
0.2598
0.84
0.4016
0.5695
0.5029
0.7983
0.3144
-7.4751
3.4274
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:37 | 0.17872000 | +0.011% |
| 2 | 15:43 | 0.17859000 | -0.062% |
| 3 | 15:49 | 0.17843000 | -0.151% |
| 4 | 16:07 | 0.17860000 | -0.056% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 14:15:00 | 0.17594 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:30:00 | 0.17658 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.17597 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:30:00 | 0.17692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:35:00 | 0.17721 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:50:00 | 0.17606 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:35:00 | 0.17653 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:25:00 | 0.17492 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 18:55:00 | 0.17514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 0.1792 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 03:30:00 | 0.1773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.17714 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:15:00 | 0.17648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 08:00:00 | 0.17823 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:15:00 | 0.17557 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:15:00 | 0.17718 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:30:00 | 0.17583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:30:00 | 0.17721 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:15:00 | 0.17492 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 0.1792 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 0.17801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 0.18095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.17829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.18174 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 0.17675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.17571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 08:00:00 | 0.17823 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.17557 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 0.17492 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 0.1792 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1787 | 0.1794 | 0.1773 | 2 | 0.2678 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1794 - 0.1787 = 0.00070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1787 - 0.1773 = 0.0014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00070000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1992.6969 | 100 | 11149.8258 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00070000000000001 = 11428.57
Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.1787 = 2042.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1794
Avec un position size USD de 2042.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00070000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0014 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.78 % | 15.61 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 7.8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.61 $ | 0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1847 % | 47.15 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1787 | 0.1794 | 0.1773 | 2 | 0.2678 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1794 - 0.1787 = 0.00070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1787 - 0.1773 = 0.0014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00070000000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.705% | 1.8R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.634% | 4.2R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 8.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.350% | 6.0R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 12.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.815% | 7.2R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 15.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.815% | 7.2R | -0.185% | 0.5R | 15.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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