Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 4692.47 ADA at 0.175$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1711 (2.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1771 (1.03 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 19:08:29
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 19:08
→ 23:15
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.1753$
Qty 4692.4674 ADA
Size 822.8242$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1711 (+2.4%)
TP $ 19.71$
SL 0.1771 (-1.03%)
SL $ 8.45$
RR 2.33
Status
loss
PnL
-1.03%
/ -8.45$
MAE -1.44%
MFE +1.65%
1.6R
expires
17 Aug 07:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71663)
#6 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 19:00
score du 16/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5228
Quality Score
0.643
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 19:00
16/08 19:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 16/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1578
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 19:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6427
Score SMA
0.5101
Rank
#6
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5228
Rank Norm SMA
0.5182
Calculé le
16/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4070 | r1h: -0.558% · r4h: -0.495% · r1d: -1.45% · r3d: -4.06% · ema21_slope: -0.0394% · dist_ema21: -1.043% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4526 | rs_1h: -0.335% · rs_4h: 0.077% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: -2.85% · beta_24h: 1.458 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9971 | rvol_20: 3.53× · zscore_50: 4.385 · trend: 97.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7203 | ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.027%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.354% | 0.3R | -0.154% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.930% | 0.9R | -0.799% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.930% | 0.9R | -0.958% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.930% | 0.9R | -1.438% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.649% | 1.6R | -1.438% | 1.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.649% | 1.6R | -1.438% | 1.4R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.83
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.87 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.47% | -0.26 | 16/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.32 | bear_low_confirmed | -0.76% | -0.05 | 16/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.43% | -0.03 | 16/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.162×ATR | p50 | -0.644×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 61b | — | 13.867×ATR | p100 | -1.466×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.464×ATR | p78 | -1.375×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.007×ATR | p11 | -1.66×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.673
- reason: down_bo width=2.16×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.17705486
- tp_price: 0.17108785
- atr:
- score: 0.67298504617718
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T11:08:22.102871
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.67298504617718
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0561
- obi_top10 : 0.1086
- micro_price : 0.17548387
- spread_pct : 0.057013
- mid_price : 0.17545
- bid_wall_price : 0.174
- bid_wall_size : 10869892
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.176
- ask_wall_size : 14790304.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0561
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7185
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.17823
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.17564
- balance_zone_mid:
0.176935
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786762800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786921200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1609
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.673
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786917600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.17564
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6444
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2419
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0011986 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.6444
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2419
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:08 | 0.17535000 | +0.029% |
| 2 | 19:14 | 0.17535000 | +0.029% |
| 3 | 19:20 | 0.17536000 | +0.034% |
| 4 | 19:26 | 0.17536000 | +0.034% |
| 5 | 19:32 | 0.17536000 | +0.034% |
| 6 | 19:38 | 0.17507000 | -0.131% |
| 7 | 19:44 | 0.17507000 | -0.131% |
| 8 | 19:50 | 0.17488000 | -0.24% |
| 9 | 19:56 | 0.17488000 | -0.24% |
| 10 | 20:03 | 0.17488000 | -0.24% |
| 11 | 20:08 | 0.17505000 | -0.143% |
| 12 | 20:14 | 0.17505000 | -0.143% |
| 13 | 20:20 | 0.17430000 | -0.57% |
| 14 | 20:26 | 0.17430000 | -0.57% |
| 15 | 20:32 | 0.17430000 | -0.57% |
| 16 | 20:38 | 0.17423000 | -0.61% |
| 17 | 20:44 | 0.17423000 | -0.61% |
| 18 | 20:50 | 0.17537000 | +0.04% |
| 19 | 20:56 | 0.17537000 | +0.04% |
| 20 | 21:03 | 0.17537000 | +0.04% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7185ms
Confidence avant OB :
67%
→
67%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.056
avg 0.056
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.109
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1755
Micro Price
0.1755
Spread
0.0570%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1740
Size
10,869,892.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1760
Size
14,790,304.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1753 | 0.1771 | 0.1711 | 2.33 | 0.2794 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1753
- Stop Loss: 0.1771
- Take Profit: 0.1711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1771 - 0.1753 = 0.0018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1753 - 0.1711 = 0.0042
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0018 = 2.3333
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 822.8242 | 100 | 4692.4674 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0018
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0018 = 4444.44
Taille de position USD = 4444.44 x 0.1753 = 779.11
Donc, tu peux acheter 4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.1771
Avec un position size USD de 779.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0042 = 18.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 18.67$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4444.44
- Taille de position USD 779.11
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 18.67
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.3333
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.4 % | 19.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 8.45 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.45 $ | -1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0496 % | 102.22 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1753 | 0.1771 | 0.1711 | 2.33 | 0.2794 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1753
- Stop Loss: 0.1771
- Take Profit: 0.1711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1771 - 0.1753 = 0.0018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1753 - 0.1711 = 0.0042
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0018 = 2.3333
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1711
[entry_price] => 0.1753
[stop_loss] => 0.17728
[rr_ratio] => 2.12
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 04:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.027%
(0.0018)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.354% | 0.3R | -0.154% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.930% | 0.9R | -0.799% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.930% | 0.9R | -0.958% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.930% | 0.9R | -1.438% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.649% | 1.6R | -1.438% | 1.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.649% | 1.6R | -1.438% | 1.4R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.