Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 419.25 ETHFI at 0.509$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5215 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4897 (3.75 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 419.25 ETHFI at 0.509$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5215 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4897 (3.75 %)
Position
Entry 0.5088$
Qty 419.2472 ETHFI
Size 213.313$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5215 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.32$
SL 0.4897 (-3.75%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.66
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9928
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.69×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 21:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7759 | r1h: 0.649% · r4h: 0.232% · r1d: 6.01% · r3d: 15.31% · ema21_slope: 0.3510% · dist_ema21: 1.750% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7380 | rs_1h: 0.609% · rs_4h: 0.448% · rs_1d: 6.27% · rs_3d: 16.32% · beta_24h: 4.415 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3794 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: 0.192 · trend: 8.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8996 | ADX: 48.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.538% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.236% | 0.1R | -0.888% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.338% | 0.1R | -1.447% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.551% | 0.4R | -1.447% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.551% | 0.4R | -1.447% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.551% | 0.4R | -1.730% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.551% | 0.4R | -3.017% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.97 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.33 | bear_medium | -1.43% | +0.93 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.23 | range_low | -0.53% | +0.55 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.18% | -0.07 | 16/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.183×ATR | p72 | +2.574×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 32b | — | 9.152×ATR | p100 | +2.324×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.782×ATR | p58 | +0.634×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 5.673×ATR | p96 | -0.134×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:10 | 0.50880000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:10 | 0.50859000 | -0.041% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5088 | 0.4897 | 0.5215 | 0.66 | 0.7826 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4897 - 0.5088 = -0.0191
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5088 - 0.5215 = -0.0127
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0127 / -0.0191 = 0.6649
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213.313 | 100 | 419.2472 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0191 = -418.85
Taille de position USD = -418.85 x 0.5088 = -213.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -418.85 avec un stoploss a 0.4897
Avec un position size USD de -213.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -418.85 x -0.0191 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -418.85 x -0.0127 = 5.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.32$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.75 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.75 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4465 % | 38.53 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5088 | 0.4897 | 0.5215 | 0.66 | 0.7826 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4897 - 0.5088 = -0.0191
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5088 - 0.5215 = -0.0127
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0127 / -0.0191 = 0.6649
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.236% | 0.1R | -0.888% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.338% | 0.1R | -1.447% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.551% | 0.4R | -1.447% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.551% | 0.4R | -1.447% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.551% | 0.4R | -1.730% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.551% | 0.4R | -3.017% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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