Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2070.75 NIL at 0.0496$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05082 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04572 (7.79 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 22:10:04
hyperliquid
NIL
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 22:10
→ 00:35
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.04958$
Qty 2070.7524 NIL
Size 102.6762$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05082 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.57$
SL 0.04572 (-7.79%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.32
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.57$
MAE -3.10%
MFE +4.57%
0.6R
expires
17 Aug 04:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71787)
#9 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 22:00
score du 16/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5061
Quality Score
0.643
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 22:02
16/08 22:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#9 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 39
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.96×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.63×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1581
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 22:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.6429
Score SMA
0.5053
Rank
#9
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5061
Rank Norm SMA
0.4357
Calculé le
16/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7564 | r1h: 3.099% · r4h: 5.064% · r1d: 4.98% · r3d: 16.01% · ema21_slope: -0.0367% · dist_ema21: 4.876% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8892 | rs_1h: 2.616% · rs_4h: 4.598% · rs_1d: 4.75% · rs_3d: 16.61% · beta_24h: -2.353 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1539 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.692 · trend: -68.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4598 | ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9395 | ATR%: 3.182% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.785%
(0.0039)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.441% | 0.3R | -0.771% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.441% | 0.3R | -1.569% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.572% | 0.6R | -3.096% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.572% | 0.6R | -3.096% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.572% | 0.6R | -5.422% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.572% | 0.6R | -7.870% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.34 | bear_high | -5.25% | +1.00 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bear_medium | -1.07% | +0.92 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | -0.02 | range_low | -0.06% | +0.77 | 16/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.26% | +0.57 | 16/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.317×ATR | p0 | +1.123×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 1.922×ATR | p0 | +0.436×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.28×ATR | p22 | +1.191×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.248×ATR | p74 | +2.824×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04572067
- tp_price: 0.0508236
- atr: 0.00154533
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T08:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 40
- score: 0.7564
- delta_2h: 0.0334
- extension_atr: 1.6
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5061
- confidence: 0.949
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:10 | 0.04958400 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 23:10 | 0.04974800 | +0.339% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04958 | 0.04572 | 0.05082 | 0.32 | 0.08572 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04958
- Stop Loss: 0.04572
- Take Profit: 0.05082
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04572 - 0.04958 = -0.00386
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04958 - 0.05082 = -0.00124
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00124 / -0.00386 = 0.3212
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102.6762 | 100 | 2070.7524 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00386
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00386 = -2072.54
Taille de position USD = -2072.54 x 0.04958 = -102.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -2072.54 avec un stoploss a 0.04572
Avec un position size USD de -102.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2072.54 x -0.00386 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2072.54 x -0.00124 = 2.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.57$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2072.54
- Taille de position USD -102.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.57
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3212
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.57 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.79 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.57 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5692 % | 20.16 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04958 | 0.04572 | 0.05082 | 0.32 | 0.08572 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04958
- Stop Loss: 0.04572
- Take Profit: 0.05082
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04572 - 0.04958 = -0.00386
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04958 - 0.05082 = -0.00124
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00124 / -0.00386 = 0.3212
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.785%
(0.0039)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.441% | 0.3R | -0.771% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.441% | 0.3R | -1.569% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.572% | 0.6R | -3.096% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.572% | 0.6R | -3.096% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.572% | 0.6R | -5.422% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.572% | 0.6R | -7.870% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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