Short Trade on SUI (CatchTheWave)
With 4379.31 SUI at 0.679$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6754 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6809 (0.27 %)
Short Trade on SUI (CatchTheWave)
With 4379.31 SUI at 0.679$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6754 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6809 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 0.6791$
Qty 4379.3143 SUI
Size 2973.9923$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6754 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16.2$
SL 0.6809 (-0.27%)
SL $ 7.88$
RR 2.06
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6394
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.55×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | -4.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.558305 15m : 0.536789 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 16/08 23:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5082 | r1h: 0.512% · r4h: 0.750% · r1d: -0.04% · r3d: -1.45% · ema21_slope: -0.0380% · dist_ema21: 0.087% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5034 | rs_1h: 0.266% · rs_4h: 0.213% · rs_1d: -0.25% · rs_3d: -1.08% · beta_24h: 1.580 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.44× · zscore_50: 3.024 · trend: 189.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7640 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 33.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.475% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.638% | 2.4R | -0.049% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.638% | 2.4R | -0.049% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.638% | 2.4R | -0.259% | 1.0R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.836% | 3.2R | -0.259% | 1.0R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.836% | 3.2R | -0.259% | 1.0R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -4.7ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.25% | -0.19 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.71 | range_medium | -0.66% | -0.10 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
30%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.63 | range_low | +0.24% | -0.02 | 16/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.52% | +0.04 | 16/08 23:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 44b | — | 5.483×ATR | p69 | -1.157×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.426×ATR | p0 | -0.237×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.969×ATR | p80 | +1.101×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.329×ATR | p58 | +2.125×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63061.4
0.00446481
63343
0.558305
63064.1
0.00442182
63343
0.536789
63158.3
0.0035731
63384
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0.2633
0.92
0.5038
0.5982
0.5586
0.659
0.4255
-4.7123
3.4897
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:05:00 | 0.67317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.66683 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:20:00 | 0.67134 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:40:00 | 0.66883 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.67149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.67126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:10:00 | 0.66722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:30:00 | 0.67526 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:05:00 | 0.67184 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:15:00 | 0.6798 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 0.67844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.67586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:15:00 | 0.67996 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 0.68169 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:15:00 | 0.67551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 0.67816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.66683 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.67149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.66722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:15:00 | 0.6798 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 0.69063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.67157 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 0.68081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.67479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.68848 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.68095 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.67264 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.68169 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.66683 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 0.67971 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6791 | 0.6809 | 0.6754 | 2.06 | 1.0737 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6809 - 0.6791 = 0.0017999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6791 - 0.6754 = 0.0037
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0017999999999999 = 2.0556
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2973.9923 | 100 | 4379.3143 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0017999999999999 = 4444.44
Taille de position USD = 4444.44 x 0.6791 = 3018.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.6809
Avec un position size USD de 3018.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0017999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0037 = 16.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.44$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16.2 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.88 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.2 $ | 0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0486 % | 18.33 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6791 | 0.6809 | 0.6754 | 2.06 | 1.0737 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6809 - 0.6791 = 0.0017999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6791 - 0.6754 = 0.0037
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0017999999999999 = 2.0556
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.638% | 2.4R | -0.049% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.638% | 2.4R | -0.049% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.638% | 2.4R | -0.259% | 1.0R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.836% | 3.2R | -0.259% | 1.0R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.836% | 3.2R | -0.259% | 1.0R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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