Short Trade on KAITO (BosPullback)
With 534.6 KAITO at 0.34$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3023 (11.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3547 (4.38 %)
Short Trade on KAITO (BosPullback)
With 534.6 KAITO at 0.34$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3023 (11.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3547 (4.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.3398$
Qty 534.6032 KAITO
Size 181.6368$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3023 (+11.04%)
TP $ 20.05$
SL 0.3547 (-4.38%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.52
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0288
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.11×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 02:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 17/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3803 | r1h: 0.361% · r4h: 3.569% · r1d: -0.87% · r3d: -15.74% · ema21_slope: -0.2325% · dist_ema21: -0.526% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4390 | rs_1h: 0.483% · rs_4h: 3.007% · rs_1d: -1.50% · rs_3d: -15.81% · beta_24h: -1.533 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2403 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.291 · trend: -5.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5980 | ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.362% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.609% | 0.1R | -0.374% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.392% | 0.3R | -0.374% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.981% | 0.5R | -0.374% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.981% | 0.5R | -6.051% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.981% | 0.5R | -11.280% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
choppy 58% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -5.25% | -1.00 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | -0.06 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.97 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | -0.01 | range_low | +0.29% | -0.42 | 17/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.48% | -0.12 | 17/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 10.466×ATR | p94 | -4.038×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 93b | — | 43.746×ATR | p100 | -2.762×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.864×ATR | p19 | -0.544×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.076×ATR | p0 | +0.585×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.32921
144
0.2072
0.6672
0.4006
0.2217
0.5469
1
0.5651
0.2883
0.1987
0.324
0.645
0.0406
-0.1037
-0.137
0
-0.8502
-3.1325
0.1579
0.8421
-1
5
1
0.5567
0.724
4.1609
0.5
2.1116
3.3286
-3.1325
0.6302
0.1559
0.54
-0.3118
0.4002
0.3377
0.9361
0.0406
-36.2609
1.5353
1
0
0
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0.32921
0.35381
0.35381
0.32921
0.33498
0.32921
0.332095
0.5625
0.35381
0.34216
0.347985
0.853
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:09 | 0.33976000 | -0.012% |
| 2 | 02:21 | 0.33898000 | -0.241% |
| 3 | 02:27 | 0.33898000 | -0.241% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3398 | 0.3547 | 0.3023 | 2.52 | 0.3091 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3547 - 0.3398 = 0.0149
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3398 - 0.3023 = 0.0375
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0375 / 0.0149 = 2.5168
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181.6368 | 100 | 534.6032 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0149 = 536.91
Taille de position USD = 536.91 x 0.3398 = 182.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 536.91 avec un stoploss a 0.3547
Avec un position size USD de 182.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 536.91 x 0.0149 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 536.91 x 0.0375 = 20.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.13$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.04 % | 20.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.38 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -4.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5821 % | 104.5 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3398 | 0.3547 | 0.3023 | 2.52 | 0.3091 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3547 - 0.3398 = 0.0149
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3398 - 0.3023 = 0.0375
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0375 / 0.0149 = 2.5168
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.609% | 0.1R | -0.374% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.392% | 0.3R | -0.374% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.981% | 0.5R | -0.374% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.981% | 0.5R | -6.051% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.981% | 0.5R | -11.280% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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