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Short Trade on MON

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17 Aug 2026 at 02:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_score)

With 15476.88 MON at 0.0201$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0206 (2.54 %)

MON SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 02:10 → 05:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.02009$

Qty 15476.8814 MON

Size 310.8996$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 310.93$

SL 0.0206 (-2.54%)

SL $ 7.89$

RR

Status win PnL +0.34% / +1.05$ MAE -0.96% MFE +0.62% 0.2R expires 17 Aug 05:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71962)
#19 / 44 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5553

Quality Score
0.530
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#19 / 44 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.54 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#19 / 44 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.54 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.34×ATR
4h near -0.05×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

17/08 02:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

17/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

17/08 01:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1585
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.92
Snapshot évalué : 17/08 02:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 17/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5304
Score SMA
0.4885
Rank
#19 / 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5553
Rank Norm SMA
0.3869
Calculé le
17/08/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3498 r1h: -0.693% · r4h: -0.777% · r1d: -4.42% · r3d: -5.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1619% · dist_ema21: -2.292%
Force Relative 25% 0.3377 rs_1h: -0.572% · rs_4h: -1.338% · rs_1d: -5.04% · rs_3d: -5.71% · beta_24h: 0.986
Volume 20% 0.6474 rvol_20: 1.56× · zscore_50: 1.175 · trend: 149.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7439 ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 20.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.909% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.539% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.577% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.6× 12
2h +0.577% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +0.617% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.7× 36
4h +1.832% 0.7R -0.956% 0.4R 1.9× 48
8h +1.832% 0.7R -0.956% 0.4R 1.9× 96
12h +1.832% 0.7R -5.172% 2.0R 0.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.0ATR — 0.41 range_medium -0.54% -0.58 17/08 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 48% late near -0.3ATR — 0.35 range_low +0.29% -0.47 17/08 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bullish_transition strong balanced normal bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -2.0ATR — 0.06 range_low +0.48% -0.09 17/08 01:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down late 27b — 7.108×ATR p94 -2.986×ATR p98
1h ↓ down late 1b — 1.504×ATR p5 -2.235×ATR p95
15m ↓ down mid 9b — 3.382×ATR p50 -1.002×ATR p57

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0206049
  2. atr: 0.0001723
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-17T09:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 44
  2. total: 44
  3. score: 0.3498
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02009 0.0206 0.02422
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02009
  • Stop Loss: 0.0206
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0206 - 0.02009 = 0.00051

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02009 - = 0.02009

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02009 / 0.00051 = 39.3922

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
310.8996 100 15476.8814 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00051

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00051 = 15686.27

Taille de position USD = 15686.27 x 0.02009 = 315.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 15686.27 avec un stoploss a 0.0206

Avec un position size USD de 315.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15686.27 x 0.00051 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15686.27 x 0.02009 = 315.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 315.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15686.27
  • Taille de position USD 315.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 315.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 39.3922

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 310.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.54 % 7.89 $
PNL PNL %
1.05 $ 0.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9557 % 37.65 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02009 0.0206 0.02422
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02009
  • Stop Loss: 0.0206
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0206 - 0.02009 = 0.00051

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02009 - = 0.02009

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02009 / 0.00051 = 39.3922

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.539% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.577% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.6× 12
2h +0.577% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +0.617% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.7× 36
4h +1.832% 0.7R -0.956% 0.4R 1.9× 48
8h +1.832% 0.7R -0.956% 0.4R 1.9× 96
12h +1.832% 0.7R -5.172% 2.0R 0.4× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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