Long Trade on CHIP

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17 Aug 2026 at 02:40:29 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CHIP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3039.73 CHIP at 0.0304$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03695 (21.67 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02774 (8.66 %)

CHIP LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 02:40 → 14:40 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.03037$

Qty 3039.7331 CHIP

Size 92.3076$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03695 (+21.67%)

TP $ 20$

SL 0.02774 (-8.66%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -6.40% / -5.91$ MAE -6.57% MFE +8.21% 1.0R expires 17 Aug 14:40 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71965)

#8 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6141

Quality Score

0.601

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 02:32

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#8 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.66 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#8 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.66 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.09×ATR
4h	near	-0.26×ATR
1d	clear	2.09×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 02:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

17/08 02:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

17/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

17/08 02:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 17/08/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.6011

Score SMA

0.6688

Rank

#8 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6141

Rank Norm SMA

0.8350

Calculé le

17/08/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7867	r1h: 0.028% · r4h: 2.961% · r1d: 6.19% · r3d: 22.18% · ema21_slope: 0.1201% · dist_ema21: 1.707%
Force Relative	25%	0.7508	rs_1h: 0.149% · rs_4h: 2.399% · rs_1d: 5.57% · rs_3d: 22.11% · beta_24h: 1.547
Volume	20%	0.1445	rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.832 · trend: -63.92%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4616	ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 73.1 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.7924	ATR%: 3.623% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -8.660% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+7.300%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+8.212%	1.0R	-2.805%	0.3R	2.9×	24
4h	+8.212%	1.0R	-3.411%	0.4R	2.4×	48
8h	+8.212%	1.0R	-3.411%	0.4R	2.4×	96
12h ★	+8.212%	1.0R	-6.572%	0.8R	1.3×	143
24h	+8.212%	1.0R	-10.494%	1.2R	0.8×	288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 3.69

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ —	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	—	bear_high	-4.20%	+0.93	16/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.32	range_medium	-0.36%	+0.99	17/08 00:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	near 0.1ATR	0.16	range_low	+0.47%	-0.12	17/08 02:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	near 0.4ATR	—	range_low	+0.62%	+0.57	17/08 02:15
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	8b	—	3.374×ATR	p40	+1.585×ATR	p61
4h	↑ up	late	6b	—	1.686×ATR	p0	+1.414×ATR	p82
1h	↑ up	mid	5b	—	2.072×ATR	p23	+1.117×ATR	p65
15m	↑ up	late	3b	—	2.577×ATR	p51	+2.007×ATR	p84

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.7221
reason: up_bo width=2.12×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.02773519
tp_price: 0.03694652
atr:
score: 0.72209862637624
expires_at: 2026-08-17T18:40:21.721019
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.72209862637624

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.1246
obi_top10 : 0.1161
micro_price : 0.03059617
spread_pct : 0.098135
mid_price : 0.030585
bid_wall_price : 0.0304
bid_wall_size : 1479874.6
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1477
obi_top5_std : 0.0163
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6906
aggregation_tick : 0.0001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.0289855
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.0267
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.02784275
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1786827600
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1786946400
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.1249
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
34
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7221
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1786932000
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.0289855
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.6176
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
4
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
1.2844
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
12
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
3
```
regime : bull_high_confirmed
atr_entry : 0.00107557

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.6176

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

1.2844

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	02:40	0.03036700	-0.01%
2	02:46	0.03036700	-0.01%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6906ms Confidence avant OB : 72% → 72%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.125

avg 0.148 ± 0.016

OBI Top 10 0.116

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.0306

Micro Price

0.0306

Spread

0.0981%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.0304

Size

1,479,874.60

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03037	0.02774	0.03695	2.5	0.06481

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03037
Stop Loss: 0.02774
Take Profit: 0.03695

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02774 - 0.03037 = -0.00263
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03037 - 0.03695 = -0.00658
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00658 / -0.00263 = 2.5019

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
92.3076	92.3076	3039.7331	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00263

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00263 = -3041.83

Taille de position USD = -3041.83 x 0.03037 = -92.38

Donc, tu peux acheter -3041.83 avec un stoploss a 0.02774

Avec un position size USD de -92.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3041.83 x -0.00263 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3041.83 x -0.00658 = 20.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$

Résumé

Taille de position -3041.83
Taille de position USD -92.38
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.02
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5019

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
21.67 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
8.66 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-5.91 $	-6.40

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-6.5723 %	75.89 %	25

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03037	0.02774	0.03695	2.5	0.06481

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03037
Stop Loss: 0.02774
Take Profit: 0.03695

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02774 - 0.03037 = -0.00263
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03037 - 0.03695 = -0.00658
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00658 / -0.00263 = 2.5019

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -8.660% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+7.300%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+8.212%	1.0R	-2.805%	0.3R	2.9×	24
4h	+8.212%	1.0R	-3.411%	0.4R	2.4×	48
8h	+8.212%	1.0R	-3.411%	0.4R	2.4×	96
12h ★	+8.212%	1.0R	-6.572%	0.8R	1.3×	143
24h	+8.212%	1.0R	-10.494%	1.2R	0.8×	288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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