Long Trade on CHIP

Previous Trade Next Trade

17 Aug 2026 at 03:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2698.25 CHIP at 0.032$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03278 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02902 (9.26 %)

CHIP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 03:10 → 04:00 · 49 minutes

Position

Entry 0.03198$

Qty 2698.2542 CHIP

Size 86.2956$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03278 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.16$

SL 0.02902 (-9.26%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.27

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.16$ MAE -8.27% MFE +2.76% 0.3R expires 17 Aug 09:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 72009)

#2 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6737

Quality Score

0.790

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 03:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#2 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.69×ATR
4h	near	-0.26×ATR
1d	clear	2.09×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 03:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

17/08 03:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

17/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

17/08 02:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1586

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.92

Snapshot évalué : 17/08 03:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 17/08/2026 03:00

Score brut

0.7899

Score SMA

0.6712

Rank

#2 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6737

Rank Norm SMA

0.8341

Calculé le

17/08/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9198	r1h: 8.958% · r4h: 9.536% · r1d: 15.72% · r3d: 37.17% · ema21_slope: 0.2051% · dist_ema21: 10.282%
Force Relative	25%	1.0000	rs_1h: 8.827% · rs_4h: 9.220% · rs_1d: 14.88% · rs_3d: 36.22% · beta_24h: 3.158
Volume	20%	0.4320	rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: 0.692 · trend: -15.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6713	ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7685	ATR%: 3.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.256% (0.0030)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.764%	0.3R	-2.949%	0.3R	0.9×	12
2h	+2.764%	0.3R	-7.699%	0.8R	0.4×	24
4h	+2.764%	0.3R	-8.274%	0.9R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+2.764%	0.3R	-8.274%	0.9R	0.3×	72
8h	+2.764%	0.3R	-8.274%	0.9R	0.3×	96
12h	+2.764%	0.3R	-12.289%	1.3R	0.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.54

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ —	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	—	bear_high	-4.20%	+0.93	16/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.32	range_medium	-0.36%	+0.99	17/08 00:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	late	—	near -0.7ATR	0.17	range_low	+0.50%	+0.15	17/08 02:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	68%	choppy 51%	late	—	near -2.7ATR	-0.06	range_low	+0.71%	+0.78	17/08 02:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	8b	—	3.374×ATR	p40	+1.585×ATR	p61
4h	↑ up	late	6b	—	1.686×ATR	p0	+1.414×ATR	p82
1h	↑ up	late	5b	—	2.732×ATR	p40	+1.91×ATR	p85
15m	↑ up	late	5b	—	5.306×ATR	p92	+3.867×ATR	p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.02901712
tp_price: 0.03278155
atr: 0.00118595
expires_at: 2026-08-17T13:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 1
total: 44
score: 0.9198
delta_2h: 0.1424
extension_atr: 2.4
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6737
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	03:10	0.03198200	+0.006%
2	04:10	0.03204700	+0.21%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03198	0.02902	0.03278	0.27	0.06464

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03198
Stop Loss: 0.02902
Take Profit: 0.03278

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02902 - 0.03198 = -0.00296
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03198 - 0.03278 = -0.0008
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0008 / -0.00296 = 0.2703

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
86.2956	86.2956	2698.2542	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00296

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00296 = -2702.7

Taille de position USD = -2702.7 x 0.03198 = -86.43

Donc, tu peux acheter -2702.7 avec un stoploss a 0.02902

Avec un position size USD de -86.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2702.7 x -0.00296 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2702.7 x -0.0008 = 2.16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.16$

Résumé

Taille de position -2702.7
Taille de position USD -86.43
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.16
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2703

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
9.26 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
2.16 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.9487 %	31.86 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03198	0.02902	0.03278	0.27	0.06464

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03198
Stop Loss: 0.02902
Take Profit: 0.03278

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02902 - 0.03198 = -0.00296
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03198 - 0.03278 = -0.0008
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0008 / -0.00296 = 0.2703

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.256% (0.0030)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.764%	0.3R	-2.949%	0.3R	0.9×	12
2h	+2.764%	0.3R	-7.699%	0.8R	0.4×	24
4h	+2.764%	0.3R	-8.274%	0.9R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+2.764%	0.3R	-8.274%	0.9R	0.3×	72
8h	+2.764%	0.3R	-8.274%	0.9R	0.3×	96
12h	+2.764%	0.3R	-12.289%	1.3R	0.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.