Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 336558.69 PUMP at 0.00291$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002955 (1.65 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002883 (0.83 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 336558.69 PUMP at 0.00291$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002955 (1.65 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002883 (0.83 %)
Position
Entry 0.002907$
Qty 336558.6874 PUMP
Size 978.3761$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002955 (+1.65%)
TP $ 16.15$
SL 0.002883 (-0.83%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8561
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.70×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.92×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.170098 15m : 0.352578 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6945 | r1h: -0.571% · r4h: 5.187% · r1d: 6.32% · r3d: 2.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1697% · dist_ema21: 5.415% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6748 | rs_1h: -0.365% · rs_4h: 5.026% · rs_1d: 5.58% · rs_3d: 1.87% · beta_24h: 5.164 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5986 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 1.310 · trend: 70.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7311 | ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 17.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.542% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.410% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.445% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.376% | 1.7R | -2.718% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.511% | 3.0R | -2.718% | 3.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.511% | 3.0R | -4.472% | 5.4R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.58 | bear_high | -4.20% | +1.00 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -1.9ATR | 0.31 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.01 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.23 | range_low | +0.20% | +0.62 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 53% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.30% | +0.45 | 17/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 34b | — | 7.452×ATR | p89 | +1.837×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 3.015×ATR | p45 | +1.771×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 6.441×ATR | p98 | +2.443×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.993×ATR | p25 | +1.536×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63337.2
0.000201871
63350
0.170098
63200.6
0.002363
63350
0.352578
63230.9
0.00188223
63350
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Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:45 | 0.00290700 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:51 | 0.00290100 | -0.206% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 00:35:00 | 0.002682 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:40:00 | 0.002812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:50:00 | 0.00283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:10:00 | 0.002793 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:30:00 | 0.002821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:50:00 | 0.002801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:15:00 | 0.00291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:25:00 | 0.002875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:05:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.0029 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 14:15:00 | 0.002702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:15:00 | 0.002725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 0.002716 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 0.002763 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:15:00 | 0.002775 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:15:00 | 0.002661 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 0.00266 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 0.00283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.0029 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.002757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.002877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.002708 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 0.002749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 0.002865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.002714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.002812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.002693 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.00266 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002907 | 0.002883 | 0.002955 | 2 | 0.005656 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002883 - 0.002907 = -2.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002907 - 0.002955 = -4.8E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.8E-5 / -2.4E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 978.3761 | 100 | 336558.6874 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.4E-5 = -333333.33
Taille de position USD = -333333.33 x 0.002907 = -969
Donc, tu peux acheter -333333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.002883
Avec un position size USD de -969$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -333333.33 x -2.4E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -333333.33 x -4.8E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.65 % | 16.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.83 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.08 $ | -0.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8256 % | 100 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002907 | 0.002883 | 0.002955 | 2 | 0.005656 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002883 - 0.002907 = -2.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002907 - 0.002955 = -4.8E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.8E-5 / -2.4E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.410% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.445% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.376% | 1.7R | -2.718% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.511% | 3.0R | -2.718% | 3.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.511% | 3.0R | -4.472% | 5.4R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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