Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 5016.81 ADA at 0.175$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1711 (2.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1767 (0.91 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 05:08:39
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 05:08
→ 17:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1751$
Qty 5016.8063 ADA
Size 878.4428$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1711 (+2.28%)
TP $ 20.07$
SL 0.1767 (-0.91%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.50%
/ +4.36$
MAE -0.30%
MFE +1.54%
1.7R
expires
17 Aug 17:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72075)
#34 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 05:00
score du 17/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3368
Quality Score
0.494
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 05:01
17/08 05:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#34 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#34 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.93×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.99×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 17/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1588
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 05:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4943
Score SMA
0.5279
Rank
#34
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4749
Calculé le
17/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4212 | r1h: -0.460% · r4h: -0.972% · r1d: -1.43% · r3d: -3.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0240% · dist_ema21: -0.642% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4131 | rs_1h: -0.236% · rs_4h: -0.723% · rs_1d: -1.90% · rs_3d: -4.59% · beta_24h: 1.356 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3444 | rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: 0.295 · trend: -10.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6386 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 43.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.706% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.914%
(0.0016)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.588% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.222% | 2.4R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 7.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.67
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.73 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.52 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.37 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.32 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.11 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.23% | -0.09 | 17/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 4.185×ATR | p50 | -0.556×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 64b | — | 14.679×ATR | p100 | -1.38×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.043×ATR | p33 | -0.721×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.55×ATR | p73 | -1.827×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7789
- reason: down_bo width=1.60×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.17669464
- tp_price: 0.1711134
- atr:
- score: 0.77891881336494
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T21:08:32.187131
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77891881336494
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0641
- obi_top10 : 0.1018
- micro_price : 0.17501442
- spread_pct : 0.057143
- mid_price : 0.17505
- bid_wall_price : 0.172
- bid_wall_size : 9657865
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.176
- ask_wall_size : 8684090
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.058
- obi_top5_std : 0.0035
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6920
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.177515
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.17564
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1765775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786834800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786957200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.6007
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7789
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786953600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.17564
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.461
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00117139 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.461
Signaux confirmants (43)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:08 | 0.17510000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:14 | 0.17510000 | 0% |
| 3 | 05:20 | 0.17504000 | -0.034% |
| 4 | 05:26 | 0.17504000 | -0.034% |
| 5 | 05:32 | 0.17504000 | -0.034% |
| 6 | 05:38 | 0.17462000 | -0.274% |
| 7 | 05:44 | 0.17462000 | -0.274% |
| 8 | 05:50 | 0.17450000 | -0.343% |
| 9 | 05:56 | 0.17450000 | -0.343% |
| 10 | 06:03 | 0.17450000 | -0.343% |
| 11 | 06:08 | 0.17419000 | -0.52% |
| 12 | 06:14 | 0.17419000 | -0.52% |
| 13 | 06:20 | 0.17405000 | -0.6% |
| 14 | 06:26 | 0.17405000 | -0.6% |
| 15 | 06:32 | 0.17405000 | -0.6% |
| 16 | 06:50 | 0.17410000 | -0.571% |
| 17 | 06:56 | 0.17410000 | -0.571% |
| 18 | 07:03 | 0.17410000 | -0.571% |
| 19 | 07:08 | 0.17496000 | -0.08% |
| 20 | 07:14 | 0.17496000 | -0.08% |
| 21 | 07:20 | 0.17455000 | -0.314% |
| 22 | 07:26 | 0.17455000 | -0.314% |
| 23 | 07:32 | 0.17455000 | -0.314% |
| 24 | 07:38 | 0.17539000 | +0.166% |
| 25 | 07:44 | 0.17539000 | +0.166% |
| 26 | 07:50 | 0.17551000 | +0.234% |
| 27 | 07:56 | 0.17551000 | +0.234% |
| 28 | 08:03 | 0.17551000 | +0.234% |
| 29 | 08:09 | 0.17432000 | -0.445% |
| 30 | 08:14 | 0.17432000 | -0.445% |
| 31 | 08:20 | 0.17469000 | -0.234% |
| 32 | 08:26 | 0.17469000 | -0.234% |
| 33 | 08:32 | 0.17469000 | -0.234% |
| 34 | 08:38 | 0.17414000 | -0.548% |
| 35 | 08:44 | 0.17414000 | -0.548% |
| 36 | 08:50 | 0.17385000 | -0.714% |
| 37 | 08:56 | 0.17385000 | -0.714% |
| 38 | 09:03 | 0.17385000 | -0.714% |
| 39 | 09:38 | 0.17470000 | -0.228% |
| 40 | 09:44 | 0.17470000 | -0.228% |
| 41 | 09:49 | 0.17444000 | -0.377% |
| 42 | 09:55 | 0.17444000 | -0.377% |
| 43 | 10:02 | 0.17444000 | -0.377% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6920ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.064
avg 0.058
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.102
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1751
Micro Price
0.1750
Spread
0.0571%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1720
Size
9,657,865.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1760
Size
8,684,090.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1751 | 0.1767 | 0.1711 | 2.5 | 0.2504 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1751
- Stop Loss: 0.1767
- Take Profit: 0.1711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1767 - 0.1751 = 0.0016
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1751 - 0.1711 = 0.004
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.004 / 0.0016 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 878.4428 | 100 | 5016.8063 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0016
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0016 = 5000
Taille de position USD = 5000 x 0.1751 = 875.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 5000 avec un stoploss a 0.1767
Avec un position size USD de 875.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5000 x 0.0016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5000 x 0.004 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5000
- Taille de position USD 875.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.28 % | 20.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.36 $ | 0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.297 % | 32.5 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1751 | 0.1767 | 0.1711 | 2.5 | 0.2504 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1751
- Stop Loss: 0.1767
- Take Profit: 0.1711
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1767 - 0.1751 = 0.0016
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1751 - 0.1711 = 0.004
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.004 / 0.0016 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.914%
(0.0016)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.588% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.536% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.222% | 2.4R | -0.297% | 0.3R | 7.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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