Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 352.09 KAITO at 0.335$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3576 (6.78 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 05:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 08:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.3349$
Qty 352.0871 KAITO
Size 117.9034$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 117.91$
SL 0.3576 (-6.78%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-3.21%
/ -3.79$
MAE -3.84%
MFE +0.05%
0.0R
expires
17 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72090)
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 05:00
score du 17/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0298
Quality Score
0.303
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 05:02
17/08 05:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.23×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 17/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1588
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 05:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3032
Score SMA
0.3822
Rank
#45
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0298
Rank Norm SMA
0.0314
Calculé le
17/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1351 | r1h: -1.415% · r4h: -3.322% · r1d: -8.69% · r3d: -18.63% · ema21_slope: -0.2356% · dist_ema21: -3.286% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1468 | rs_1h: -1.192% · rs_4h: -3.074% · rs_1d: -9.16% · rs_3d: -19.31% · beta_24h: -0.545 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1832 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.252 · trend: -52.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5955 | ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.326% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -6.778%
(0.0227)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.042% | 0.0R | -1.783% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.054% | 0.0R | -2.063% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.054% | 0.0R | -3.843% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.054% | 0.0R | -4.252% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.054% | 0.0R | -12.908% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.899% | 0.1R | -12.908% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.03
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
choppy 59% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -4.20% | -1.00 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | -0.06 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.97 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | -0.01 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.62 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | -0.07 | range_low | +0.23% | -0.15 | 17/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 10.416×ATR | p94 | -4.093×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 94b | — | 46.383×ATR | p100 | -2.907×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.198×ATR | p33 | -1.565×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 4.947×ATR | p82 | -1.684×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3349 | 0.3576 | 0.3213 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3349
- Stop Loss: 0.3576
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3576 - 0.3349 = 0.0227
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3349 - = 0.3349
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3349 / 0.0227 = 14.7533
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117.9034 | 100 | 352.0871 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0227
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0227 = 352.42
Taille de position USD = 352.42 x 0.3349 = 118.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 352.42 avec un stoploss a 0.3576
Avec un position size USD de 118.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 352.42 x 0.0227 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 352.42 x 0.3349 = 118.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 118.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position 352.42
- Taille de position USD 118.03
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 118.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 14.7533
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 117.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.78 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.79 $ | -3.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8429 % | 56.7 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3349 | 0.3576 | 0.3213 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3349
- Stop Loss: 0.3576
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3576 - 0.3349 = 0.0227
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3349 - = 0.3349
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3349 / 0.0227 = 14.7533
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.3349
[stop_loss] => 0.35987
[rr_ratio] => 13.41
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.3349
[stop_loss] => 0.36214
[rr_ratio] => 12.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 14:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.3349
[stop_loss] => 0.36441
[rr_ratio] => 11.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 14:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.3349
[stop_loss] => 0.36895
[rr_ratio] => 9.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 14:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -6.778%
(0.0227)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.042% | 0.0R | -1.783% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.054% | 0.0R | -2.063% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.054% | 0.0R | -3.843% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.054% | 0.0R | -4.252% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.054% | 0.0R | -12.908% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.899% | 0.1R | -12.908% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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