Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 408.04 ETHFI at 0.502$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5142 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4821 (3.91 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 07:10:05
hyperliquid
ETHFI
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 13:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5017$
Qty 408.0442 ETHFI
Size 204.7117$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5142 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.1$
SL 0.4821 (-3.91%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.64
Status
loss
PnL
-0.15%
/ -0.31$
MAE -1.38%
MFE +0.68%
0.2R
expires
17 Aug 13:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72178)
#4 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 07:00
score du 17/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8591
Quality Score
0.615
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 07:01
17/08 07:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.10×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 07:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1590
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 07:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.6145
Score SMA
0.6819
Rank
#4
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8591
Rank Norm SMA
0.9259
Calculé le
17/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6776 | r1h: 1.389% · r4h: -1.041% · r1d: 4.59% · r3d: 15.47% · ema21_slope: 0.1166% · dist_ema21: 0.086% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6800 | rs_1h: 0.889% · rs_4h: -0.985% · rs_1d: 3.61% · rs_3d: 14.21% · beta_24h: 1.872 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2229 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.344 · trend: -25.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6441 | ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.601% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.907%
(0.0196)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.249% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.249% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -1.058% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.678% | 0.2R | -1.383% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.939% | 0.2R | -3.016% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.939% | 0.2R | -3.016% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.41
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.97 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.34 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.86 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | +0.53% | -0.16 | 17/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.58% | -0.17 | 17/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.287×ATR | p78 | +2.739×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 34b | — | 8.518×ATR | p96 | +1.419×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.728×ATR | p11 | +0.059×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.704×ATR | p60 | -0.181×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.48208428
- tp_price: 0.51423225
- atr: 0.00784229
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T17:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 49
- score: 0.6776
- delta_2h: 0.0417
- extension_atr: -0.16
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8591
- confidence: 0.958
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5017 | 0.4821 | 0.5142 | 0.64 | 0.682 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5017
- Stop Loss: 0.4821
- Take Profit: 0.5142
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4821 - 0.5017 = -0.0196
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5017 - 0.5142 = -0.0125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0125 / -0.0196 = 0.6378
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204.7117 | 100 | 408.0442 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0196
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0196 = -408.16
Taille de position USD = -408.16 x 0.5017 = -204.77
Donc, tu peux acheter -408.16 avec un stoploss a 0.4821
Avec un position size USD de -204.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -408.16 x -0.0196 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -408.16 x -0.0125 = 5.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position -408.16
- Taille de position USD -204.77
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6378
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.91 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.31 $ | -0.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3833 % | 35.41 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5017 | 0.4821 | 0.5142 | 0.64 | 0.682 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5017
- Stop Loss: 0.4821
- Take Profit: 0.5142
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4821 - 0.5017 = -0.0196
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5017 - 0.5142 = -0.0125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0125 / -0.0196 = 0.6378
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.907%
(0.0196)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.249% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.249% | 0.1R | -0.937% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.678% | 0.2R | -1.058% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.678% | 0.2R | -1.383% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.939% | 0.2R | -3.016% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.939% | 0.2R | -3.016% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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