Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 386100.39 PUMP at 0.00285$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002891 (1.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002829 (0.74 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 386100.39 PUMP at 0.00285$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002891 (1.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002829 (0.74 %)
Position
Entry 0.00285$
Qty 386100.3861 PUMP
Size 1100.3861$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002891 (+1.44%)
TP $ 15.83$
SL 0.002829 (-0.74%)
SL $ 8.11$
RR 1.95
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8085
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.14×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 07:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.159838 15m : 0.3353 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5365 | r1h: 0.487% · r4h: -2.921% · r1d: 4.97% · r3d: 1.69% · ema21_slope: 0.2602% · dist_ema21: 2.278% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4932 | rs_1h: -0.014% · rs_4h: -2.865% · rs_1d: 3.99% · rs_3d: 0.43% · beta_24h: 4.521 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2598 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.511 · trend: 20.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7284 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 21.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.669% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.404% | 4.6R | -0.561% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.404% | 4.6R | -0.561% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.404% | 4.6R | -0.561% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.561% | 6.2R | -0.737% | 1.0R | 6.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.561% | 6.2R | -4.386% | 6.0R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.58 | bear_high | -4.20% | +1.00 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.5ATR | near -1.1ATR | 0.31 | range_medium | -0.73% | -0.22 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.23 | range_low | +0.53% | +0.47 | 17/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | +0.59% | -0.03 | 17/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 34b | — | 7.452×ATR | p89 | +1.837×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.173×ATR | p7 | +0.948×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.342×ATR | p50 | +1.068×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.635×ATR | p85 | +0.01×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63436.8
0.00282417
63616
0.159838
63239.8
0.00594799
63616
0.3353
63231.6
0.00606256
63615
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0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:16 | 0.00285000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:22 | 0.00284700 | -0.105% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 03:30:00 | 0.002821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:50:00 | 0.002801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:15:00 | 0.00291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:25:00 | 0.002875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:05:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:55:00 | 0.002866 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:20:00 | 0.002901 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:15:00 | 0.002865 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:35:00 | 0.002902 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:15:00 | 0.00284 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 0.002716 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 0.002763 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:15:00 | 0.002775 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:15:00 | 0.002661 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 0.00266 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 0.00283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.002866 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:30:00 | 0.002902 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:15:00 | 0.00284 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.002877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.002708 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 0.002749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 0.002865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.002714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.002812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.002693 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.00266 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.002865 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00285 | 0.002829 | 0.002891 | 1.95 | 0.005041 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002829 - 0.00285 = -2.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00285 - 0.002891 = -4.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1E-5 / -2.1E-5 = 1.9524
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1100.3861 | 100 | 386100.3861 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.1E-5 = -380952.38
Taille de position USD = -380952.38 x 0.00285 = -1085.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -380952.38 avec un stoploss a 0.002829
Avec un position size USD de -1085.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -380952.38 x -2.1E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -380952.38 x -4.1E-5 = 15.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.62$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.44 % | 15.83 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.83 $ | 1.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5614 % | 76.19 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00285 | 0.002829 | 0.002891 | 1.95 | 0.005041 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002829 - 0.00285 = -2.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00285 - 0.002891 = -4.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1E-5 / -2.1E-5 = 1.9524
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.404% | 4.6R | -0.561% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.404% | 4.6R | -0.561% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.404% | 4.6R | -0.561% | 0.8R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.561% | 6.2R | -0.737% | 1.0R | 6.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.561% | 6.2R | -4.386% | 6.0R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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