Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.74 XMR at 416.33$ per unit. Take profit: 419.708 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 414.641 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.74 XMR at 416.33$ per unit. Take profit: 419.708 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 414.641 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 416.33$
Qty 4.7365 XMR
Size 1971.9422$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 419.708 (+0.81%)
TP $ 16$
SL 414.641 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4587
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 07:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.229708 15m : 0.12378 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 17/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5833 | r1h: 0.212% · r4h: 0.327% · r1d: 2.80% · r3d: 5.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0692% · dist_ema21: 1.171% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5506 | rs_1h: -0.289% · rs_4h: 0.384% · rs_1d: 1.81% · rs_3d: 3.83% · beta_24h: 0.259 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2505 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.159 · trend: -30.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6331 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.710% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -0.303% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.076% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.076% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.136% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.549% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.97 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late_trend | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.49 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.14 | range_low | +0.54% | -0.01 | 17/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.05 | range_low | +0.59% | +0.03 | 17/08 07:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.841×ATR | p19 | +2.085×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 4.098×ATR | p71 | +1.6×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.987×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.144×ATR | p33 | -0.037×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63448.8
0.00275979
63624
0.229708
63239.9
0.00605648
63623
0.12378
63231.6
0.00606256
63615
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415.62
186
0.7596
0.7511
0.3581
0.2621
0.4367
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0.606
0.7311
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0.1066
1
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2.2217
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1
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1
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0.9369
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0.55
0.712
2.4386
2.2217
0
0.194
0.24
-0.2155
0.5293
0.5659
0.767
0.8909
-1.1822
9.6511
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:28 | 416.33000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:35 | 416.22000000 | -0.026% |
| 3 | 08:35 | 414.93000000 | -0.336% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:35:00 | 417 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:55:00 | 419.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:25:00 | 419.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:40:00 | 417 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:35:00 | 417.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:50:00 | 419.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:25:00 | 418.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:25:00 | 415.9 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 412 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:30:00 | 415.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:15:00 | 407.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:45:00 | 415.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 408.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 412.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:00:00 | 414.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:15:00 | 419.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:30:00 | 417 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 407.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 421.74 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416.33 | 414.641 | 419.708 | 2 | 553.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 414.641 - 416.33 = -1.689
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 416.33 - 419.708 = -3.378
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.378 / -1.689 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1971.9422 | 100 | 4.7365 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.689 = -4.74
Taille de position USD = -4.74 x 416.33 = -1973.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.74 avec un stoploss a 414.641
Avec un position size USD de -1973.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.74 x -1.689 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.74 x -3.378 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.454 % | 111.91 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416.33 | 414.641 | 419.708 | 2 | 553.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 414.641 - 416.33 = -1.689
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 416.33 - 419.708 = -3.378
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.378 / -1.689 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -0.303% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.076% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.076% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.136% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.432% | 1.1R | -1.549% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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