Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 5046.9 WLD at 0.357$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3602 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3555 (0.42 %)
Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 5046.9 WLD at 0.357$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3602 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3555 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 0.357$
Qty 5046.9047 WLD
Size 1801.9468$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3602 (+0.9%)
TP $ 16.15$
SL 0.3555 (-0.42%)
SL $ 7.57$
RR 2.13
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6807
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.41×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.253114 15m : 0.409156 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5849 | r1h: -0.892% · r4h: -0.594% · r1d: 3.42% · r3d: 7.90% · ema21_slope: 0.1396% · dist_ema21: 0.387% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5288 | rs_1h: -0.901% · rs_4h: -0.867% · rs_1d: 2.35% · rs_3d: 6.60% · beta_24h: 2.980 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1860 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.434 · trend: -38.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6510 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.352% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.045% | 0.1R | -1.022% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.395% | 0.9R | -1.022% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.081% | 2.6R | -1.154% | 2.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.081% | 2.6R | -2.364% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.081% | 2.6R | -4.490% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.87 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.62 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.36 | range_low | +0.62% | -0.01 | 17/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.63% | -0.04 | 17/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 3.02×ATR | p5 | +1.125×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 0.734×ATR | p0 | +1.393×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.79×ATR | p18 | +0.291×ATR | p26 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.764×ATR | p11 | -0.24×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63470.1
0.0019203
63592
0.253114
63259.3
0.00525855
63592
0.409156
63232.6
0.00683754
63665
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0.5848
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0.7745
0.0556
0.069
1
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1.3752
0.65
0.35
1
18
1
0.4646
0.5461
5.5135
0.55
0.926
3.5652
1.3752
0.6872
0.2227
0.62
0.0192
0.5755
0.4905
0.7944
0.7745
-2.1302
7.3177
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:30:00 | 0.36389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:05:00 | 0.35996 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:55:00 | 0.36353 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:15:00 | 0.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:55:00 | 0.35795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:00:00 | 0.36182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:30:00 | 0.35938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:20:00 | 0.35856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:45:00 | 0.365 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.356 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.37144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 0.35983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.35198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:15:00 | 0.36865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:15:00 | 0.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 0.35989 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.35795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:15:00 | 0.35856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:45:00 | 0.365 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.356 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 0.35475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.34616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.35321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.34992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.34263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.37144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.35198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 0.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 0.35795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.365 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.357 | 0.3555 | 0.3602 | 2.13 | 0.5092 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3555 - 0.357 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.357 - 0.3602 = -0.0032
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0032 / -0.0015 = 2.1333
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1801.9468 | 100 | 5046.9047 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0015 = -5333.33
Taille de position USD = -5333.33 x 0.357 = -1904
Donc, tu peux acheter -5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3555
Avec un position size USD de -1904$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0032 = 17.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.07$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 16.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 7.57 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.57 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.437 % | 104 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.357 | 0.3555 | 0.3602 | 2.13 | 0.5092 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3555 - 0.357 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.357 - 0.3602 = -0.0032
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0032 / -0.0015 = 2.1333
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.045% | 0.1R | -1.022% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.395% | 0.9R | -1.022% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.081% | 2.6R | -1.154% | 2.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.081% | 2.6R | -2.364% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.081% | 2.6R | -4.490% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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