Long Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 81.64 SOL at 75.525$ per unit. Take profit: 75.721 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 75.427 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 81.64 SOL at 75.525$ per unit. Take profit: 75.721 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 75.427 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 75.525$
Qty 81.6394 SOL
Size 6165.8189$ (margin 100$) (leverage 62)
Risk Setup
TP 75.721 (+0.26%)
TP $ 16$
SL 75.427 (-0.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4826
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.69×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.76141 15m : 0.718637 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 07:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5133 | r1h: 0.078% · r4h: 0.049% · r1d: 0.72% · r3d: 0.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0292% · dist_ema21: 0.561% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4863 | rs_1h: 0.069% · rs_4h: -0.224% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -0.90% · beta_24h: 1.425 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2367 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.354 · trend: -4.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6347 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 30.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.410% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.107% | 0.8R | -0.336% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.274% | 2.1R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.881% | 6.8R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.881% | 6.8R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.881% | 6.8R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | — | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.27 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.80 | range_medium | -0.23% | -0.05 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | range_low | +0.62% | -0.05 | 17/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.68 | range_low | +0.51% | -0.02 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.426×ATR | p0 | +0.183×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.578×ATR | p11 | +0.494×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.083×ATR | p26 | +1.22×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.682×ATR | p10 | +0.841×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63486.7
0.00118535
63562
0.76141
63258.7
0.00479375
63562
0.718637
63241
0.00546976
63587
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57092665788316
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
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75.141
195
0.6634
0.6272
0.4068
0.2755
0.5142
0.4408
0.367
0.7553
0.5847
0.856
0.6668
0.5805
0.0583
0.0209
1
0.6099
0.6708
0.4
0.6
1
6
1
0.449
0.5604
6.1937
0.5
0.4408
2.7302
0.6708
0.6653
0.1686
0.76
0.8526
0.703
0.4381
0.7407
0.5805
-3.409
4.7172
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:06 | 75.52500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:18 | 75.50700000 | -0.024% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 06:50:00 | 75.971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 75.731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:40:00 | 75.852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:55:00 | 75.141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 75.392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:45:00 | 75.233 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:25:00 | 75.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:15:00 | 75.664 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 75.882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:05:00 | 75.525 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 75.019 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 75.328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:30:00 | 74.088 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 74.404 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:00:00 | 75.577 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 75.334 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 75.971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 75.141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 75.882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 75.525 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 74.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 02:00:00 | 75.672 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 75.015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 75.703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 75.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 75.138 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 75.676 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 74.088 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 75.971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 75.141 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.525 | 75.427 | 75.721 | 2 | 106.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 75.427 - 75.525 = -0.097999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 75.525 - 75.721 = -0.196
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.196 / -0.097999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6165.8189 | 100 | 81.6394 | 62.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.097999999999999 = -81.63
Taille de position USD = -81.63 x 75.525 = -6165.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -81.63 avec un stoploss a 75.427
Avec un position size USD de -6165.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -81.63 x -0.097999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -81.63 x -0.196 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.192 % | 147.92 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.525 | 75.427 | 75.721 | 2 | 106.81 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 75.427 - 75.525 = -0.097999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 75.525 - 75.721 = -0.196
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.196 / -0.097999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.107% | 0.8R | -0.336% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.274% | 2.1R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.881% | 6.8R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.881% | 6.8R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.881% | 6.8R | -0.339% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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