Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 128452.15 DOGE at 0.0702$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07028 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07009 (0.1 %)
Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 128452.15 DOGE at 0.0702$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07028 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07009 (0.1 %)
Position
Entry 0.07016$
Qty 128452.1516 DOGE
Size 9011.6891$ (margin 100$) (leverage 90)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07028 (+0.17%)
TP $ 15.41$
SL 0.07009 (-0.1%)
SL $ 8.99$
RR 1.71
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6274
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.98×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.547672 15m : 0.561954 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 07:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5147 | r1h: -0.136% · r4h: 0.026% · r1d: 0.70% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0343% · dist_ema21: 0.319% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4837 | rs_1h: -0.146% · rs_4h: -0.247% · rs_1d: -0.37% · rs_3d: -0.06% · beta_24h: 0.767 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2815 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.061 · trend: 6.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6110 | ADX: 13.5 (weak) · Chop: 38.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.329% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.016% | 0.2R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.192% | 1.9R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.610% | 6.1R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.610% | 6.1R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 6.1R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.20% | -0.04 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.73 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.01 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.64 | range_low | +0.62% | -0.05 | 17/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.63% | -0.01 | 17/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 44b | — | 4.692×ATR | p56 | -0.1×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.402×ATR | p13 | +0.743×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.205×ATR | p2 | +0.864×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.561×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63481.5
0.00172392
63591
0.547672
63259.3
0.00524306
63591
0.561954
63241
0.00546976
63587
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0.070028
195
0.7054
0.764
0.3579
0.2352
0.4583
0.3161
0.4512
0.7468
0.648
0.808
0.7836
0.4582
0.071
0.0415
1
0.3268
0.7199
0.5
0.5
1
5
1
0.5296
0.8645
6.0124
0.5
0.3161
1.9005
0.7199
0.7967
0.278
0.68
0.5702
0.557
0.4813
0.8574
0.4582
-6.7642
5.7205
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:13 | 0.07015600 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 08:19 | 0.07013700 | -0.033% |
| 3 | 08:24 | 0.07013000 | -0.043% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.070481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 0.07032 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:15:00 | 0.0701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:30:00 | 0.070291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:55:00 | 0.070028 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:30:00 | 0.07025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:20:00 | 0.070159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:45:00 | 0.070414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 0.070353 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:05:00 | 0.07012 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:30:00 | 0.069048 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.069669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 0.06945 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 0.07029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:15:00 | 0.070259 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:30:00 | 0.070086 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.070481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.070028 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:45:00 | 0.070414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.07012 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 0.07009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.070516 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.069874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.070129 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 0.070074 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.069493 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.070162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 0.069048 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.070481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 0.070028 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07016 | 0.07009 | 0.07028 | 1.71 | 0.08254 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07009 - 0.07016 = -7.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07016 - 0.07028 = -0.00012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00012 / -7.0000000000001E-5 = 1.7143
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9011.6891 | 100 | 128452.1516 | 90.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -7.0000000000001E-5 = -114285.71
Taille de position USD = -114285.71 x 0.07016 = -8018.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -114285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.07009
Avec un position size USD de -8018.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -114285.71 x -7.0000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -114285.71 x -0.00012 = 13.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 15.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 8.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.99 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1454 % | 145.69 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07016 | 0.07009 | 0.07028 | 1.71 | 0.08254 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07009 - 0.07016 = -7.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07016 - 0.07028 = -0.00012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00012 / -7.0000000000001E-5 = 1.7143
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.016% | 0.2R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.192% | 1.9R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.610% | 6.1R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.610% | 6.1R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 6.1R | -0.232% | 2.3R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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