Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 57.6 HYPE at 59.056$ per unit. Take profit: 59.3338 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 58.9171 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 57.6 HYPE at 59.056$ per unit. Take profit: 59.3338 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 58.9171 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 59.056$
Qty 57.5995 HYPE
Size 3401.5977$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 59.3338 (+0.47%)
TP $ 16$
SL 58.9171 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9045
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.408576 15m : 0.499296 |
1H_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 17/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6134 | r1h: -0.336% · r4h: 0.124% · r1d: 3.90% · r3d: 6.09% · ema21_slope: 0.1837% · dist_ema21: 1.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5579 | rs_1h: -0.346% · rs_4h: -0.148% · rs_1d: 2.83% · rs_3d: 4.80% · beta_24h: 1.928 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8744 | rvol_20: 2.26× · zscore_50: 3.054 · trend: 94.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8258 | ADX: 39.1 (trend) · Chop: 24.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.715% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.571% | 2.4R | -0.472% | 2.0R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.571% | 2.4R | -0.472% | 2.0R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.870% | 3.7R | -0.472% | 2.0R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.870% | 3.7R | -1.179% | 5.0R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.947% | 4.0R | -1.179% | 5.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.65 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.27% | +0.39 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | +0.48% | +0.21 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.46 | range_low | +0.45% | -0.05 | 17/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.253×ATR | p25 | +1.18×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 5.242×ATR | p82 | +2.421×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 5.57×ATR | p89 | +1.461×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.616×ATR | p67 | -0.664×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63499
0.000550545
63534
0.408576
63281.5
0.00398954
63534
0.499296
63240
0.00464837
63534
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59.874
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2.8885
0.75
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1
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0.3872
0.4454
6.6083
0.55
7.6283
9.3025
2.8885
0
0.1918
0.86
0.514
0.7121
0.4997
0.9342
0.8458
-1.5327
8.4071
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:45 | 59.05600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:51 | 59.06700000 | +0.019% |
| 3 | 09:04 | 59.06400000 | +0.014% |
| 4 | 09:09 | 59.06200000 | +0.01% |
| 5 | 09:21 | 58.87000000 | -0.315% |
| 6 | 09:27 | 58.82300000 | -0.395% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 05:55:00 | 58.668 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:55:00 | 59.647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:20:00 | 59.128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:50:00 | 59.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:10:00 | 59.264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:45:00 | 59.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:55:00 | 59.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:15:00 | 59.149 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:10:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:40:00 | 59.033 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:15:00 | 57.395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 57.931 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 59.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:45:00 | 58.668 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:45:00 | 59.647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 59.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:30:00 | 59.033 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 56.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 56.747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 57.547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.056 | 58.9171 | 59.3338 | 2 | 81.115 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 58.9171 - 59.056 = -0.1389
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.056 - 59.3338 = -0.2778
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2778 / -0.1389 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3401.5977 | 100 | 57.5995 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1389 = -57.6
Taille de position USD = -57.6 x 59.056 = -3401.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -57.6 avec un stoploss a 58.9171
Avec un position size USD de -3401.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -57.6 x -0.1389 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -57.6 x -0.2778 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3437 % | 146.13 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.056 | 58.9171 | 59.3338 | 2 | 81.115 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 58.9171 - 59.056 = -0.1389
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.056 - 59.3338 = -0.2778
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2778 / -0.1389 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.571% | 2.4R | -0.472% | 2.0R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.571% | 2.4R | -0.472% | 2.0R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.870% | 3.7R | -0.472% | 2.0R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.870% | 3.7R | -1.179% | 5.0R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.947% | 4.0R | -1.179% | 5.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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