Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 6910.55 ONDO at 0.337$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3394 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 0.336 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 6910.55 ONDO at 0.337$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3394 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 0.336 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.3371$
Qty 6910.5515 ONDO
Size 2329.7542$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3394 (+0.68%)
TP $ 15.89$
SL 0.336 (-0.33%)
SL $ 7.6$
RR 2.09
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7800
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.423974 15m : 0.445486 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5833 | r1h: 0.237% · r4h: 0.474% · r1d: 3.67% · r3d: 3.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1463% · dist_ema21: 1.204% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5519 | rs_1h: 0.087% · rs_4h: -0.052% · rs_1d: 2.76% · rs_3d: 1.79% · beta_24h: 1.056 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3432 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: -0.010 · trend: 13.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7675 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 36.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -0.252% | 0.8R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.644% | 2.0R | -0.893% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -1.549% | 4.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -2.311% | 7.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.93 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.28% | +0.12 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.61% | +0.16 | 17/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.42 | range_low | +0.39% | -0.01 | 17/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 5.003×ATR | p69 | -0.609×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.329×ATR | p40 | +1.365×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.417×ATR | p0 | +1.065×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.522×ATR | p0 | -0.392×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63542.1
0.000658862
63584
0.423974
63327.9
0.00511676
63652
0.445486
63216.8
0.00685226
63650
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1.8751
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0.4126
0.5203
5.3458
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0.1639
0.94
0.4288
0.6329
0.6103
0.9629
0.7803
-1.5369
5.4576
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 09:10:00 | 0.33714 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:25:00 | 0.33514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:00:00 | 0.33817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:20:00 | 0.33549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:50:00 | 0.34192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:20:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:25:00 | 0.33698 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:40:00 | 0.33989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:55:00 | 0.33989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:40:00 | 0.33713 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 15:45:00 | 0.33394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 0.3302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:45:00 | 0.33241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:30:00 | 0.33574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 0.33267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.33967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 0.33514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:15:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:15:00 | 0.33698 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.32998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33145 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.32969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.3284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.32231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.33394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:00:00 | 0.34233 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3371 | 0.336 | 0.3394 | 2.09 | 0.426 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.336 - 0.3371 = -0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3371 - 0.3394 = -0.0023
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0023 / -0.0011 = 2.0909
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2329.7542 | 100 | 6910.5515 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0011 = -7272.73
Taille de position USD = -7272.73 x 0.3371 = -2451.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -7272.73 avec un stoploss a 0.336
Avec un position size USD de -2451.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7272.73 x -0.0011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7272.73 x -0.0023 = 16.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.73$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 15.89 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 7.6 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.6 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3856 % | 118.17 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3371 | 0.336 | 0.3394 | 2.09 | 0.426 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.336 - 0.3371 = -0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3371 - 0.3394 = -0.0023
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0023 / -0.0011 = 2.0909
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -0.252% | 0.8R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.644% | 2.0R | -0.893% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -1.549% | 4.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.644% | 2.0R | -2.311% | 7.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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